Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.15
assuming max odds 2.05
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bellarmine Knights (Local): 45.99%; Eastern Kentucky Colonels (Visit): 54.01%. For Eastern Kentucky Colonels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.72%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -17.22%E -9.56%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +10.72%E +5.23%K +10.21%G +1.09% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 17:51 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.16%E -0.636%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 23:33 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.78%E -1.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 23:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.78%E -1.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 23:48 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.78%E -1.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 23:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.78%E -1.55%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.26%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.86%E -2.17%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.26%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.86%E -2.17%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 23:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.26%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.86%E -2.17%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 23:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.26%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.86%E -2.17%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 23:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.26%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.86%E -2.17%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 23:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.26%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.86%E -2.17%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 23:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.26%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.86%E -2.17%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 23:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.10%E -3.51%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.86%E -2.17%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.10%E -3.51%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.86%E -2.17%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 23:18 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 23:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 23:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 23:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.18%E -3.03%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.94%E -2.81%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 23:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 23:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.56%E -3.79%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 22:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.56%E -3.79%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 22:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.32%E -5.29%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.56%E -3.79%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.32%E -5.29%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.56%E -3.79%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.50%E -1.18%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.10%E -4.13%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 22:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.12%E -0.520%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.64%E -4.47%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 23:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.64%E -4.47%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.34%E -2.09%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.19%E -4.81%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 23:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -4.80%E -2.32%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -8.19%E -4.81%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.19%E -4.81%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 22:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.19%E -4.81%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 22:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98% | 0.1% | 2026-02-21 23:49 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.48% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.52% | 1.3% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06% | 2.2% | 2026-02-21 23:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33% | 3.0% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |