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Bellarmine Knights v Austin Peay Governors
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bellarmine Knights (Local)
Prediction 33.79%2.96fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.698%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.18%34.08%33.73%36.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.722.702.9038.46%36.80%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Austin Peay Governors (Visit)
Prediction 66.21%1.51fair odd
EV -0.016%
Edge -0.010%
Kelly -0.030%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.26%65.92%66.27%66.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.451.5171.43%68.63%68.97%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bellarmine Knights (Local): 33.79%; Austin Peay Governors (Visit): 66.21%. For Austin Peay Governors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.5102. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.5100, with an expected value of -0.016%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.02%E -0.698%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 17:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.71%E -1.30%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.71%E -1.30%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.71%E -1.30%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.71%E -1.30%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.71%E -1.30%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 17:11 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -4.73%E -1.68%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 17:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -5.74%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.59%EV -7.30%E -5.21%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.09%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.09%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.09%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.09%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.09%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.09%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.30%E -5.21%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.09%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.30%E -5.21%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.09%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.30%E -5.21%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -8.10%E -2.98%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -2.66%E -1.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.00%E -1.35%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.00%E -1.35%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.00%E -1.35%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.00%E -1.35%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.00%E -1.35%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.00%E -1.35%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.33%E -2.28%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.33%E -2.28%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -0.678%E -0.452%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -0.678%E -0.452%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -0.678%E -0.452%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.00%E -1.35%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.00%E -1.35%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.00%E -1.35%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.66%E -1.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -11.15%E -4.24%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -11.48%E -4.38%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -0.678%E -0.452%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -12.16%E -4.68%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -0.016%E -0.010%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -12.16%E -4.68%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -12.16%E -4.68%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -12.16%E -4.68%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.82% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 67.18% | -0.1% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.0% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Novig◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |