L’École des cotes

Baylor Bears v Arizona St Sun Devils

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 21:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Baylor Bears (Local)

Prévision 74.69%1.34cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -6.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.32%74.63%74.68%76.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.271.281.3181.97%78.59%78.13%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arizona St Sun Devils (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.31%3.95cote équitable
EV +1.24%
Avantage +0.309%
Kelly +0.412%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.37%25.37%25.32%26.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.733.704.0028.57%26.78%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.24%E +0.309%K +0.412%G +0.005%3.7%2026-02-21 18:04
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.89%E -4.67%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +1.24%E +0.309%K +0.412%G +0.005%4.4%2026-02-21 18:10
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.88%E -7.28%K -40.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +1.24%E +0.309%K +0.412%G +0.005%7.0%2026-02-21 18:10
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.30%EV -8.13%E -6.61%K -35.35%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.70%EV +0.225%E +0.057%K +0.076%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 18:10
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -0.028%E -0.007%K -0.010%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 20:35
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -4.40%E -3.43%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 17:24
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -4.40%E -3.43%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 17:25
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 74.85%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.15%EV -2.81%E -0.732%K -0.990%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 20:45
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 20:35
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 17:00
Bovada1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.40%E -3.43%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 20:31
888sport1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:35
Mr Green (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:35
888sport (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.82%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:35
Caesars1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -4.40%E -3.43%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -4.33%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 16:49
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -2.90%E -2.23%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 14:55
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 14:55
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.38%E -5.95%K -30.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 17:30
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.43%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 20:50
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.43%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 20:50
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.43%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 20:50
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.43%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 20:50
LiveScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.43%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 20:49
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.43%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 20:50
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.43%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 20:50
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.43%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 20:50
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.43%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 20:49
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.43%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 20:50
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.43%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.40%E -3.43%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 17:09
Fliff1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.38%E -5.95%K -30.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 20:50
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.62%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 20:50
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.16%E -1.65%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 20:50
TAB1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.65%E -2.83%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 19:35
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.40%E -3.43%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -10.15%E -2.86%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 16:59
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:55
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.14%E -4.05%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:54
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 14:55
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.64%E -5.31%K -26.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 17:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.33I 75.19%NM 75.23%4.04I 24.75%NM 24.77%-0.1%2026-02-21 20:55
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 75.24%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.76%1.5%2026-02-21 20:55
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-02-21 20:50
ProphetX1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-02-21 20:05