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Ball State Cardinals v Massachusetts Minutemen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ball State Cardinals (Local)
Prediction 34.23%2.92fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.488%
Kelly -0.747%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.18%34.26%34.19%35.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.752.752.8838.17%36.31%36.36%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Massachusetts Minutemen (Visit)
Prediction 65.77%1.52fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -4.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.61%65.74%65.81%66.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.451.4971.43%69.35%68.97%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ball State Cardinals (Local): 34.23%; Massachusetts Minutemen (Visit): 65.77%. For Ball State Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.88, with an expected value of -1.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.40%E -0.488%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.96%E -4.16%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-24 23:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.09%E -0.730%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.64%E -3.20%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-24 16:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.09%E -0.730%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.64%E -3.20%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-24 16:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.43%E -0.853%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.64%E -3.20%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-24 16:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.43%E -0.853%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.30%E -3.68%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-24 06:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.43%E -0.853%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.30%E -3.68%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-24 12:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.14%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.98%E -2.73%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.14%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.64%E -3.20%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-23 22:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.14%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.64%E -3.20%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-24 17:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.14%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.96%E -4.16%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 17:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.14%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.93%E -5.66%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-24 23:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.67%E -1.80%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-24 17:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.67%E -1.80%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-24 12:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.67%E -1.80%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-24 23:41 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.98%E -2.73%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.98%E -2.73%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 17:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.64%E -3.20%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 17:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.64%E -3.20%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.64%E -3.20%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.64%E -3.20%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 17:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.64%E -3.20%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 17:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.64%E -3.20%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 06:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.30%E -3.68%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.30%E -3.68%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-24 12:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.61%E -4.66%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-24 17:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.61%E -4.66%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-24 17:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.27%E -5.16%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-24 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.85%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.93%E -5.66%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-24 02:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -6.88%E -2.53%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.01%E -1.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-24 22:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.38%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.61%E -4.66%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-24 23:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.98%E -2.73%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 17:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.64%E -3.20%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-24 17:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.64%E -3.20%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-24 17:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.64%E -3.20%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-24 22:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.61%E -4.66%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-24 17:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.61%E -4.66%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-24 23:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.30%E -3.68%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-24 22:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.31%E -3.93%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -7.93%E -5.66%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-23 22:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.31%E -3.93%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -7.93%E -5.66%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-23 22:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.09I 32.36%NM 32.39% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.61% | -0.1% | 2026-02-24 23:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 1.1% | 2026-02-24 23:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 1.3% | 2026-02-24 23:54 |
| Novig◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13% | 1.7% | 2026-02-24 23:19 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.0% | 2026-02-24 22:20 |