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Ball State Cardinals v Central Michigan Chippewas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ball State Cardinals (Local)
Prediction 55.24%1.81fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%55.22%55.27%58.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.711.711.7762.50%58.41%58.48%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Central Michigan Chippewas (Visit)
Prediction 44.76%2.23fair odd
EV +0.709%
Edge +0.315%
Kelly +0.567%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.56%44.78%44.73%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.132.152.2548.78%46.89%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ball State Cardinals (Local): 55.24%; Central Michigan Chippewas (Visit): 44.76%. For Central Michigan Chippewas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.709%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -11.62%E -7.26%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +0.709%E +0.315%K +0.567%G +0.004% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 23:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 14:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 14:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 14:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 14:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 16:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 16:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 15:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 16:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 16:36 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 16:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 16:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 14:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.09%E -3.58%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.09%E -3.58%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 23:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.09%E -3.58%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 14:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.09%E -3.58%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.09%E -3.58%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 14:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 17:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -6.09%E -3.58%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 14:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.11%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.20%E -4.28%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.11%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 14:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.22%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 21:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 21:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.43%E -2.56%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 16:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.43%E -2.56%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 16:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.43%E -2.56%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 17:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.20%E -4.28%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 21:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.09%E -3.58%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.90%E -3.32%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 21:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.09%E -3.58%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.09%E -3.58%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 17:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.75%E -4.64%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.85%E -5.37%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.85%E -5.37%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84% | 0.0% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 23:44 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.03% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.97% | 1.5% | 2026-03-06 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.03% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.97% | 1.5% | 2026-03-06 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |