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Austin Peay Governors v Stetson Hatters
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Austin Peay Governors (Local)
Prediction 84.88%1.18fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -2.84%
Kelly -23.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.02%84.75%85.30%86.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.121.121.1490.91%89.23%89.29%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stetson Hatters (Visit)
Prediction 15.12%6.61fair odd
EV +5.87%
Edge +0.838%
Kelly +0.978%
Growth +0.057%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.69%15.25%14.70%17.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.206.156.257.0019.23%16.25%16.00%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Austin Peay Governors (Local): 84.88%; Stetson Hatters (Visit): 15.12%. For Stetson Hatters (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.61. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.87%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.79%E -5.21%K -52.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +5.87%E +0.838%K +0.978%G +0.057% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 21:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.16%EV -5.79%E -5.21%K -52.61%G +0.000% | 6.91I 14.47%NM 13.84%EV +4.50%E +0.652%K +0.762%G +0.034% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 21:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.94%E -4.41%K -41.15%G +0.000% | 6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV +1.93%E +0.287%K +0.337%G +0.007% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.94%E -4.41%K -41.15%G +0.000% | 6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV +1.93%E +0.287%K +0.337%G +0.007% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.94%E -4.41%K -41.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.70%E -0.261%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.94%E -4.41%K -41.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.70%E -0.261%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.94%E -4.41%K -41.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.70%E -0.261%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.94%E -4.41%K -41.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.70%E -0.261%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 21:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.94%E -4.41%K -41.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.70%E -0.261%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 22:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.94%E -4.41%K -41.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.70%E -0.261%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.79%E -5.21%K -52.61%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -3.21%E -0.501%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.79%E -5.21%K -52.61%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -3.21%E -0.501%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.09%E -3.62%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -5.48%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.09%E -3.62%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -5.48%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.09%E -3.62%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -5.48%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.09%E -3.62%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -5.48%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 21:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.09%E -3.62%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -5.48%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.09%E -3.62%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -5.48%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.09%E -3.62%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -5.48%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.09%E -3.62%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -5.48%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.09%E -3.62%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -5.48%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 22:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.94%E -4.41%K -41.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.48%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 21:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.94%E -4.41%K -41.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.48%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 21:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.62%EV -6.64%E -6.03%K -66.36%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.38%EV -8.50%E -1.41%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.94%E -4.41%K -41.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.94%E -4.41%K -41.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.79%E -5.21%K -52.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 22:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.79%E -5.21%K -52.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 21:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.79%E -5.21%K -52.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 22:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.64%E -6.03%K -66.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.64%E -6.03%K -66.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -5.79%E -5.21%K -52.61%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -10.77%E -1.83%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.24%E -2.84%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -12.28%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.09%E -3.62%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -13.04%E -2.27%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.09%E -3.62%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -13.04%E -2.27%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.09%E -3.62%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -13.04%E -2.27%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.09%E -3.62%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -13.04%E -2.27%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.79%E -5.21%K -52.61%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -13.04%E -2.27%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 21:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.79%E -5.21%K -52.61%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -13.04%E -2.27%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 21:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.09%E -3.62%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.31%E -2.73%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.09%E -3.62%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -16.82%E -3.06%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -3.24%E -2.84%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -21.36%E -4.11%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 21:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.44% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.56% | 3.3% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.55% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.45% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.43% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 82.93% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.07% | 14.8% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |