Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austin Peay Governors v Central Arkansas Bears

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 01:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austin Peay Governors (Local)

Prediction 64.52%1.55fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.841%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.26%64.44%64.49%65.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.481.481.5369.44%67.77%67.57%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Central Arkansas Bears (Visit)

Prediction 35.48%2.82fair odd
EV -0.653%
Edge -0.233%
Kelly -0.363%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.12%35.56%35.51%36.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.662.702.8039.22%37.59%37.04%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Austin Peay Governors (Local): 64.52%; Central Arkansas Bears (Visit): 35.48%. For Central Arkansas Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -0.653%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.29%E -0.841%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.98%E -2.25%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-26 00:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.29%E -0.841%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.98%E -2.25%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-26 00:29
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.58%E -1.71%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.75%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 17:00
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.22%E -2.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.20%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 16:59
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.22%E -2.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.20%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 01:20
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.22%E -2.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.04%E -2.69%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 16:59
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.87%E -2.60%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.20%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 01:20
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.87%E -2.60%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.20%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 16:58
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.51%E -3.05%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.43%E -0.883%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-25 17:04
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.51%E -3.05%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.43%E -0.883%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 01:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.51%E -3.05%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.43%E -0.883%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-25 17:00
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.51%E -3.05%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.20%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 01:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.51%E -3.05%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.20%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 00:19
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.51%E -3.05%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.20%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.51%E -3.05%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.20%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 00:20
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.51%E -3.05%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.20%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.51%E -3.05%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.20%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.51%E -3.05%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.20%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 00:19
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.51%E -3.05%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.20%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 00:19
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.51%E -3.05%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.98%E -2.25%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 01:19
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.51%E -3.05%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.52%E -3.73%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 00:19
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.51%E -3.05%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.52%E -3.73%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 00:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.51%E -3.05%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.52%E -3.73%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 00:20
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.51%E -3.05%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.52%E -3.73%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.51%E -3.05%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.52%E -3.73%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 00:19
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.16%E -3.51%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.49%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 17:04
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.16%E -3.51%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.20%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 23:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.16%E -3.51%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.20%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 23:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.16%E -3.51%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.20%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 23:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.16%E -3.51%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.52%E -3.73%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 01:00
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.80%E -3.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.20%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 01:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.80%E -3.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.20%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 01:20
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.45%E -4.45%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.653%E -0.233%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 01:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.45%E -4.45%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.20%E -1.56%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 17:04
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.45%E -4.45%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.75%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 00:04
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.45%E -4.45%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.75%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 00:04
Fliff🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.45%E -4.45%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.75%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 01:19
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.45%E -4.45%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.75%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 01:10
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.09%E -4.93%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.04%E -2.69%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 17:04
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.09%E -4.93%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.75%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 01:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.09%E -4.93%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.75%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 01:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.53I 65.36%NM 65.46%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.54%-0.2%2026-02-26 01:15
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-02-25 23:15
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-02-26 01:20
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-02-25 23:55
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%4.3%2026-02-26 01:25