Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Auburn Tigers v South Alabama Jaguars

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Auburn Tigers (Local)

Prediction 92.44%1.08fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -2.80%
Kelly -58.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.05%92.26%92.43%93.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.031.031.0599.01%96.94%97.09%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Alabama Jaguars (Visit)

Prediction 7.56%13.23fair odd
EV +4.32%
Edge +0.313%
Kelly +0.337%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 13.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.95%7.74%7.57%9.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5011.9012.5013.8010.53%8.40%8.00%7.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Auburn Tigers (Local): 92.44%; South Alabama Jaguars (Visit): 7.56%. For South Alabama Jaguars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.23. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.32%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.05%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.54%G +0.000%13.80I 7.25%NM 6.95%EV +4.32%E +0.313%K +0.337%G +0.015%4.3%2026-03-17 21:25
DraftKings🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.86%E -3.71%K -96.54%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.73%E -0.133%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-17 17:50
BetUS🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.86%E -3.71%K -96.54%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.73%E -0.133%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-17 18:00
William Hill🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.53%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.73%E -0.133%K -0.144%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-17 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.46%EV -3.86%E -3.71%K -96.54%G +0.000%12.76I 7.84%NM 7.54%EV -3.54%E -0.278%K -0.301%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.46%EV -3.86%E -3.71%K -96.54%G +0.000%12.76I 7.84%NM 7.54%EV -3.54%E -0.278%K -0.301%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 17:50
Caesars🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.86%E -3.71%K -96.54%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -5.51%E -0.441%K -0.479%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 17:48
BetMGM🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.54%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -5.51%E -0.441%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 17:48
Neds🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.53%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -5.51%E -0.441%K -0.479%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.53%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -5.51%E -0.441%K -0.479%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 17:49
GTbets🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.22%EV -2.94%E -2.80%K -58.75%G +0.000%12.45I 8.03%NM 7.78%EV -5.89%E -0.473%K -0.514%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-17 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.54%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.29%E -0.774%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 17:50
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.54%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.29%E -0.774%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 17:50
Fliff🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.15%EV -6.63%E -6.57%K -663.49%G +0.000%11.85I 8.44%NM 7.85%EV -10.42%E -0.879%K -0.961%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 01:55
TAB🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.86%E -3.71%K -96.54%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -24.41%E -2.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 16:15
SportsBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.54%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -24.41%E -2.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 01:55
Betsson🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.53%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -24.41%E -2.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 01:00
NordicBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.53%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -24.41%E -2.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 01:00
PlayUp🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -2.94%E -2.80%K -58.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -28.19%E -2.97%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 18:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.04I 96.15%NM 95.99%24.90I 4.02%NM 4.01%0.2%2026-03-17 21:35
ProphetX1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%0.6%2026-03-17 22:45
Novig1.07I 93.46%NM 92.85%13.89I 7.20%NM 7.15%0.7%2026-03-18 01:45
Kalshi1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%1.3%2026-03-17 21:10
Polymarket1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%1.3%2026-03-17 23:00