Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Auburn Tigers v Seattle Redhawks

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 22:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Auburn Tigers (Local)

Prediction 89.10%1.12fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -2.65%
Kelly -32.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.53%88.87%89.17%89.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.071.071.0996.15%93.50%93.46%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Redhawks (Visit)

Prediction 10.90%9.17fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.209%
Kelly -0.235%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.63%11.13%10.83%13.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.288.509.0014.29%12.08%11.76%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Auburn Tigers (Local): 89.10%; Seattle Redhawks (Visit): 10.90%. For Seattle Redhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 9.00, with an expected value of -1.88%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.68%EV -2.88%E -2.65%K -32.04%G +0.000%8.54I 11.71%NM 11.32%EV -6.90%E -0.808%K -0.915%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 20:40
PlayUp🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -2.88%E -2.65%K -32.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -23.69%E -3.38%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 20:30
GTbets🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.77%E -3.49%K -47.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -1.88%E -0.209%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -3.77%E -3.49%K -47.18%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV -2.43%E -0.271%K -0.305%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -3.77%E -3.49%K -47.18%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV -2.43%E -0.271%K -0.305%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 16:25
BetUS🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.07%EV -3.77%E -3.49%K -47.18%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.93%EV -4.06%E -0.462%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 16:25
TAB🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.77%E -3.49%K -47.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.23%E -2.43%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 16:09
DraftKings🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.67%E -4.36%K -66.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.88%E -0.209%K -0.235%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 16:09
FanDuel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.67%E -4.36%K -66.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.88%E -0.209%K -0.235%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 21:49
Caesars🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.67%E -4.36%K -66.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.88%E -0.209%K -0.235%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 16:09
BetMGM🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.67%E -4.36%K -66.65%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -4.61%E -0.527%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 16:09
Neds🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.67%E -4.36%K -66.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.33%E -0.863%K -0.978%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.67%E -4.36%K -66.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.33%E -0.863%K -0.978%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.56%E -5.24%K -92.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.78%E -1.60%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 16:09
Coral🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.56%E -5.24%K -92.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.78%E -1.60%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 16:10
Fliff🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.56%E -5.24%K -92.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.78%E -1.60%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 21:05
William Hill🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.56%E -5.24%K -92.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.78%E -1.60%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 16:15
Betsson🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.56%E -5.24%K -92.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -18.23%E -2.43%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 16:10
NordicBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.56%E -5.24%K -92.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -18.23%E -2.43%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 16:09
SportsBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.56%E -5.24%K -92.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -18.23%E -2.43%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 21:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.24%EV -7.34%E -7.06%K -183.45%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -14.96%E -1.92%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 19:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99%0.1%2026-03-22 22:24
ProphetX1.11I 90.09%NM 89.34%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.66%0.8%2026-03-22 21:55
Kalshi1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.1%2026-03-22 20:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 89.72%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28%1.3%2026-03-22 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 89.72%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28%1.3%2026-03-22 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 89.52%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.48%1.5%2026-03-22 21:45
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 89.47%9.35I 10.70%NM 10.53%1.6%2026-03-22 21:30
Polymarket1.10I 90.91%NM 89.21%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79%1.9%2026-03-22 22:25