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Auburn Tigers v Nevada Wolf Pack
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Auburn Tigers (Local)
Prediction 76.71%1.30fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.811%
Kelly -3.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.96%76.16%76.64%78.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.241.241.2981.97%80.59%80.65%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit)
Prediction 23.29%4.29fair odd
EV +2.95%
Edge +0.667%
Kelly +0.862%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 4.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.77%23.84%23.36%27.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.984.004.4229.41%25.12%25.00%22.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Auburn Tigers (Local): 76.71%; Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit): 23.29%. For Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.29. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.95%.
Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -5.65%E -4.59%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV +2.95%E +0.667%K +0.862%G +0.025% | 3.9% | 2026-03-26 00:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.88%E -3.94%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.153%E +0.036%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-26 01:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.18%E -0.518%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 01:03 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.88%E -3.94%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.18%E -0.518%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 00:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.88%E -3.94%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.18%E -0.518%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 01:03 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.11%E -0.747%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 01:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.11%E -0.747%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 01:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 01:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 01:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.88%E -3.94%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-26 01:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.88%E -3.94%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-26 01:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.42%E -5.26%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-26 01:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.42%E -5.26%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.83%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-26 01:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.42%E -5.26%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-26 00:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.42%E -5.26%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.16%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-26 00:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.33%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-26 01:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.35%E -2.66%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-26 01:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.88%E -3.94%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-26 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.42%E -5.26%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-26 01:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.42%E -5.26%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.49%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-26 01:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.05%E -0.811%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -18.48%E -5.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-26 01:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -3.35%E -2.66%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -20.81%E -6.12%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-26 00:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.45% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 20.55% | -0.1% | 2026-03-26 00:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.66% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 22.34% | 0.6% | 2026-03-26 01:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-03-26 01:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-03-26 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-03-26 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-03-26 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.6% | 2026-03-26 01:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 2.0% | 2026-03-26 01:05 |