The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Auburn Tigers v Kentucky Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 12:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Auburn Tigers (Local)

Prediction 45.40%2.20fair odd
EV -0.112%
Edge -0.051%
Kelly -0.093%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%46.15%45.36%55.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.672.052.072.2059.88%48.81%48.31%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kentucky Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 54.60%1.83fair odd
EV +15.74%
Edge +7.43%
Kelly +14.06%
Growth +2.21%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.06%53.85%54.64%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.731.732.1259.88%57.65%57.97%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Auburn Tigers (Local): 45.40%; Kentucky Wildcats (Visit): 54.60%. For Kentucky Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.74%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -24.18%E -14.48%K -36.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV +15.74%E +7.43%K +14.06%G +2.21%7.1%2026-02-22 02:40
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 02:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 02:40
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 02:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 02:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 02:40
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 02:40
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 02:39
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 02:41
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 02:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.00%E -2.87%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 02:40
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -11.46%E -5.88%K -12.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 02:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -11.46%E -5.88%K -12.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 02:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -11.46%E -5.88%K -12.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -5.55%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 02:39
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.56%E -2.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 02:40
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.56%E -2.67%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 02:40
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 02:39
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 02:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -6.01%E -2.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 02:40
LeoVegas🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -6.01%E -2.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 02:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -6.01%E -2.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 02:40
Bally Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -6.01%E -2.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 02:40
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.47%E -3.14%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 02:40
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.92%E -3.38%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 02:40
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.19%E -4.60%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.19%E -4.23%K -10.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 02:40
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.73%E -4.58%K -11.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 02:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.112%E -0.051%K -0.093%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 02:40
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.38%E -1.11%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 02:33
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-02-22 02:42
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-02-22 02:42
ProphetX◎2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%5.3%2026-02-22 02:42
Novig◎2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%6.4%2026-02-22 02:42