Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas St Red Wolves v Toledo Rockets

2026-11-03 01:00 UTC — NCAAB

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

52%

48%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas St Red Wolves (Local)

Prediction 52.22%1.92fair odd

EV -4.44%

Edge -2.43%

Kelly -5.35%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

52.22%52.22%52.22%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.831.831.831.8354.64%54.64%54.64%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toledo Rockets (Visit)

Prediction 47.78%2.09fair odd

EV -4.44%

Edge -2.22%

Kelly -4.44%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

47.78%47.78%47.78%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.002.002.002.0050.00%50.00%50.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Arkansas St Red Wolves (Local): 52.22%; Toledo Rockets (Visit): 47.78%. For Toledo Rockets (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.00, with an expected value of -4.44%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.44%E -2.43%K -5.35%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-10-31 07:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%	2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%	10.0%	2026-10-31 07:35
Polymarket◎	1.23I 81.30%NM 55.27%	1.52I 65.79%NM 44.73%	47.1%	2026-10-31 13:25