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Arkansas St Red Wolves v Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arkansas St Red Wolves (Local)
Prediction 88.87%1.13fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -12.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.41%88.60%88.91%90.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.071.081.1194.34%93.02%92.59%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Visit)
Prediction 11.13%8.98fair odd
EV +11.32%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +1.26%
Growth +0.142%
assuming max odds 10.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.58%11.40%11.09%14.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.927.5010.0015.38%12.62%13.33%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas St Red Wolves (Local): 88.87%; Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Visit): 11.13%. For Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.98. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.32%.
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.80%E -5.47%K -96.67%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +11.32%E +1.13%K +1.26%G +0.142% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -5.80%E -5.47%K -96.67%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV +6.87%E +0.715%K +0.799%G +0.055% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 01:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -4.02%E -3.72%K -50.28%G +0.000% | 8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV -0.368%E -0.041%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -4.02%E -3.72%K -50.28%G +0.000% | 8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV -0.368%E -0.041%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.02%E -3.72%K -50.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.38%E -0.633%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.80%E -5.47%K -96.67%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -5.38%E -0.633%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.91%E -4.59%K -70.16%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -8.16%E -0.989%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.91%E -4.59%K -70.16%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -8.16%E -0.989%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.80%E -5.47%K -96.67%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.94%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.80%E -5.47%K -96.67%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.94%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.02%E -3.72%K -50.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.51%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.02%E -3.72%K -50.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.51%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.02%E -3.72%K -50.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.51%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.02%E -3.72%K -50.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.51%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.02%E -3.72%K -50.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.51%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.02%E -3.72%K -50.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.51%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.02%E -3.72%K -50.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.51%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.02%E -3.72%K -50.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.51%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.02%E -3.72%K -50.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.51%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.02%E -3.72%K -50.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.51%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.02%E -3.72%K -50.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.51%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.02%E -3.72%K -50.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.51%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.02%E -3.72%K -50.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.51%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 01:53 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.80%E -5.47%K -96.67%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.51%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.80%E -5.47%K -96.67%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.51%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -1.36%E -1.22%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -27.64%E -4.25%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 01:42 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75% | 2.6% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 01:50 |