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Arkansas Razorbacks v Vanderbilt Commodores
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arkansas Razorbacks (Local)
Prediction 44.91%2.23fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.540%
Kelly -0.990%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.59%44.87%44.81%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.082.2050.00%47.70%48.08%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Vanderbilt Commodores (Visit)
Prediction 55.09%1.82fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -3.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%55.13%55.19%56.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.731.741.7759.88%57.87%57.47%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas Razorbacks (Local): 44.91%; Vanderbilt Commodores (Visit): 55.09%. For Arkansas Razorbacks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -1.19%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.19%E -0.540%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.19%E -0.540%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 17:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.19%E -0.540%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.19%E -0.540%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.09%E -0.957%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 17:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.43%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.15%E -2.39%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.43%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.15%E -2.39%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 17:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.43%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.15%E -2.39%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 16:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.43%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.15%E -2.39%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.43%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 16:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.88%E -1.81%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.78%E -2.26%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.60%E -2.06%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.78%E -2.26%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.70%E -2.72%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -4.78%E -2.26%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -8.01%E -4.79%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 16:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -5.23%E -2.48%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -2.50%E -1.41%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 16:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.50%E -1.41%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 16:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.50%E -1.41%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 17:03 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.15%E -2.39%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 17:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.15%E -2.39%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.25%E -3.05%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 17:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.25%E -3.05%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 17:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.58%E -3.16%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.60%E -2.06%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.58%E -3.16%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.60%E -2.06%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.58%E -3.16%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.60%E -2.06%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.58%E -3.16%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.60%E -2.06%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.58%E -3.16%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.60%E -2.06%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.58%E -3.16%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.60%E -2.06%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.03%E -3.39%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -7.48%E -3.63%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -3.60%E -2.06%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -7.48%E -3.63%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -3.60%E -2.06%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -7.48%E -3.63%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -3.60%E -2.06%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.92%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.60%E -2.06%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.92%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.15%E -2.39%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.92%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.25%E -3.05%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-15 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.92%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.92%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.92%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.01%E -4.79%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-15 16:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.92%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.01%E -4.79%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.92%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.01%E -4.79%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -8.37%E -4.10%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -4.15%E -2.39%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -8.37%E -4.10%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -4.15%E -2.39%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.17%E -5.09%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.70%E -2.72%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.17%E -5.09%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.70%E -2.72%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 16:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 44.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 55.77% | -2.5% | 2026-03-15 16:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39% | 1.9% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28% | 2.1% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |