A Escola das Odds

Arkansas Razorbacks v Texas Longhorns

Início: 2026-03-05 00:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Arkansas Razorbacks (Local)

Previsão 72.59%1.38odd justa
EV -1.28%
Vantagem -0.940%
Kelly -3.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.81%72.50%72.77%74.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.281.321.321.3678.13%75.87%75.76%73.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Texas Longhorns (Visitante)

Previsão 27.41%3.65odd justa
EV +1.42%
Vantagem +0.384%
Kelly +0.526%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.85%27.50%27.23%31.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.383.303.7033.33%29.57%30.30%27.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +1.42%E +0.384%K +0.526%G +0.007%4.5%2026-03-04 23:54
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +1.42%E +0.384%K +0.526%G +0.007%4.5%2026-03-04 22:29
GTbets1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +0.598%E +0.163%K +0.224%G +0.001%4.2%2026-03-04 23:50
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +0.598%E +0.163%K +0.224%G +0.001%4.2%2026-03-04 23:49
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +0.598%E +0.163%K +0.224%G +0.001%4.2%2026-03-04 23:50
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.91%E -3.75%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.32%E -0.367%K -0.508%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 22:45
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.32%E -0.367%K -0.508%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 23:55
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.32%E -0.367%K -0.508%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 06:05
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 23:55
Everygame1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 16:50
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.91%E -3.75%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 06:29
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 23:55
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.91%E -3.75%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 23:40
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.09%E -5.54%K -25.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 22:35
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -2.73%E -2.04%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -6.53%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 23:30
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.73%E -2.04%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 23:04
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 21:44
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 23:55
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.00%E -1.49%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:55
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.73%E -2.04%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 23:05
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 23:55
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 23:55
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 23:55
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 23:55
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 23:55
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 23:55
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 23:55
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 23:55
Fliff1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 23:54
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 15:40
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.73%E -2.04%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 23:35
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.73%E -2.04%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 23:35
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 23:54
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 23:55
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 23:10
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 23:10
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 21:45
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.03%E -4.85%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 23:50
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.28%E -0.940%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -17.77%E -5.92%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 23:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.34I 74.63%NM 74.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.33%-0.1%2026-03-04 23:55
Polymarket1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-03-04 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-03-04 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-03-04 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-03-04 23:50
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 73.21%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.79%1.2%2026-03-04 23:45
ProphetX1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-03-04 23:55
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-03-04 23:55