La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Arkansas Razorbacks v Texas Longhorns
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Arkansas Razorbacks (Local)
Predicción 72.59%1.38momio equitativo
EV -1.28%
Ventaja -0.940%
Kelly -3.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.81%72.50%72.77%74.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.321.321.3678.13%75.87%75.76%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Texas Longhorns (Visitante)
Predicción 27.41%3.65momio equitativo
EV +1.42%
Ventaja +0.384%
Kelly +0.526%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.85%27.50%27.23%31.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.383.303.7033.33%29.57%30.30%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +1.42%E +0.384%K +0.526%G +0.007% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 23:54 |
| Caesars | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +1.42%E +0.384%K +0.526%G +0.007% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 22:29 |
| GTbets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +0.598%E +0.163%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +0.598%E +0.163%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +0.598%E +0.163%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.91%E -3.75%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.32%E -0.367%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.32%E -0.367%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.32%E -0.367%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 06:05 |
| BetUS | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Everygame | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.91%E -3.75%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 06:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.91%E -3.75%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.09%E -5.54%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 22:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -2.73%E -2.04%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -6.53%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Bovada | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.73%E -2.04%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 23:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 21:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.00%E -1.49%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| TAB | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.73%E -2.04%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 23:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| betPARX | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Fliff | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 23:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.73%E -2.04%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 23:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.73%E -2.04%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 23:35 |
| Unibet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 23:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Betsson | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.03%E -4.85%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.28%E -0.940%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -17.77%E -5.92%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 23:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.67% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.33% | -0.1% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Polymarket | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| Novig | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.21% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.79% | 1.2% | 2026-03-04 23:45 |
| ProphetX | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 2.2% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |