Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.31
assuming max odds 4.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas Razorbacks (Local): 75.84%; Texas A&M Aggies (Visit): 24.16%. For Texas A&M Aggies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.14. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.46%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.46%E +0.347%K +0.455%G +0.007% | 4.5% | 2026-02-26 01:48 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +0.491%E +0.118%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 4.0% | 2026-02-25 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +0.491%E +0.118%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 4.0% | 2026-02-25 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.959%E -0.234%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.959%E -0.234%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 23:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.44%E -3.52%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.37%E -0.844%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 22:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.44%E -3.52%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.37%E -0.844%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 23:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.37%E -0.844%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 01:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.37%E -0.844%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 01:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.37%E -0.844%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 01:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.37%E -0.844%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 01:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.37%E -0.844%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 08:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.47%E -6.12%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.37%E -0.844%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 16:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.30%EV -6.71%E -5.46%K -29.18%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.70%EV -4.34%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-25 15:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.44%E -3.52%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.79%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 01:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -7.00%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 01:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.71%E -5.46%K -29.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-25 02:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.71%E -5.46%K -29.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-25 01:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.16%E -1.68%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -9.41%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 22:33 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.41%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.41%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 23:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.41%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 23:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.41%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 23:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.41%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 23:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.41%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 23:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.41%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 23:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.41%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.62%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 23:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.62%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 23:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.62%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 23:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -10.62%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 23:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.62%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 10:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -4.44%E -3.52%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -11.83%E -3.24%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 23:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -0.645%E -0.492%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -13.04%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 01:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.16%E -1.68%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.04%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.40%E -1.08%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -15.45%E -4.42%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 01:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.40%E -1.08%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -15.45%E -4.42%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 01:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -17.87%E -5.26%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 01:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -17.87%E -5.26%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 01:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -0.645%E -0.492%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -21.73%E -6.71%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 01:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 79.06% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 20.94% | -1.9% | 2026-02-26 01:49 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-02-25 22:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-02-26 01:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-02-26 01:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-02-26 01:50 |