Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks v Oklahoma Sooners

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 02:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks (Local)

Prediction 69.83%1.43fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -5.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.31%69.76%69.80%70.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.361.361.4075.19%73.35%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma Sooners (Visit)

Prediction 30.17%3.32fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.604%
Kelly -0.873%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.32%30.24%30.20%32.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.133.153.2535.71%31.99%31.75%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas Razorbacks (Local): 69.83%; Oklahoma Sooners (Visit): 30.17%. For Oklahoma Sooners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.25, with an expected value of -1.96%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.23%E -1.59%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 01:50
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -2.93%E -2.11%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 02:10
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07%EV -3.63%E -2.63%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV -2.57%E -0.795%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 01:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -3.63%E -2.63%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 01:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -3.63%E -2.63%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 01:49
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.63%E -2.63%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 02:05
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.33%E -3.16%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -2.87%E -0.891%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 02:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.33%E -3.16%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 01:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.33%E -3.16%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 01:55
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.33%E -3.16%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 01:55
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.33%E -3.16%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 02:09
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.96%E -0.604%K -0.873%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 01:49
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.96%E -0.604%K -0.873%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 02:09
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.96%E -0.604%K -0.873%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 02:08
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -2.87%E -0.891%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 01:50
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 02:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 01:57
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 02:09
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 02:09
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 01:54
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 01:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 01:55
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 01:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 01:54
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 01:54
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 01:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 01:55
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 01:50
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 01:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -15.54%E -5.55%K -8.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 02:04
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -15.54%E -5.55%K -8.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 02:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.72%E -4.24%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 01:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.72%E -4.24%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 01:54
Fliff🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.72%E -4.24%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 02:09
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -6.42%E -4.79%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -2.57%E -0.795%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 02:05
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.12%E -5.35%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 01:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.41I 70.92%NM 70.93%3.44I 29.07%NM 29.07%-0.0%2026-03-14 02:09
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-03-14 01:50
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-03-14 02:10
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-03-14 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.94%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.06%9.8%2026-03-14 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.94%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.06%9.8%2026-03-14 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.94%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.06%9.8%2026-03-14 02:05