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Arkansas Razorbacks v Missouri Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arkansas Razorbacks (Local)
Prediction 78.86%1.27fair odd
EV -3.79%
Edge -3.11%
Kelly -17.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.45%78.80%78.95%81.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.201.201.2285.47%83.67%83.33%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Missouri Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 21.14%4.73fair odd
EV +7.83%
Edge +1.54%
Kelly +1.91%
Growth +0.150%
assuming max odds 5.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.66%21.20%21.05%24.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.544.555.1026.67%22.05%21.98%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas Razorbacks (Local): 78.86%; Missouri Tigers (Visit): 21.14%. For Missouri Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.73. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.83%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.74%E -6.61%K -45.51%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.83%E +1.54%K +1.91%G +0.150% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.74%E -6.61%K -45.51%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.83%E +1.54%K +1.91%G +0.150% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.74%E -6.61%K -45.51%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.83%E +1.54%K +1.91%G +0.150% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.74%E -6.61%K -45.51%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.83%E +1.54%K +1.91%G +0.150% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.74%E -6.61%K -45.51%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.83%E +1.54%K +1.91%G +0.150% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.74%E -6.61%K -45.51%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.83%E +1.54%K +1.91%G +0.150% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.74%E -6.61%K -45.51%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.83%E +1.54%K +1.91%G +0.150% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.74%E -6.61%K -45.51%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.83%E +1.54%K +1.91%G +0.150% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.37%E -4.48%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.60%E +0.735%K +0.923%G +0.033% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 20:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -5.37%E -4.48%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV +2.12%E +0.439%K +0.554%G +0.012% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 21:03 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -5.37%E -4.48%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV +2.12%E +0.439%K +0.554%G +0.012% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 21:02 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.37%E -4.48%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.429%E +0.090%K +0.115%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 20:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -4.58%E -3.79%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -1.26%E -0.270%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 20:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.58%E -3.79%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.74%E -0.596%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.58%E -3.79%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.74%E -0.596%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.58%E -3.79%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.74%E -0.596%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 21:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.37%E -4.48%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.74%E -0.596%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.95%E -5.89%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.74%E -0.596%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.74%E -6.61%K -45.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.74%E -0.596%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -5.37%E -4.48%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -3.80%E -0.835%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.79%E -3.11%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.86%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.58%E -3.79%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.86%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 21:03 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.37%E -4.48%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.86%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 20:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.95%E -5.89%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.86%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 21:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -6.16%E -5.18%K -32.42%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -8.03%E -1.85%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -6.16%E -5.18%K -32.42%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -8.03%E -1.85%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 21:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -3.79%E -3.11%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -8.45%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.37%E -4.48%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.45%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 21:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.44%EV -6.16%E -5.18%K -32.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.56%EV -8.45%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.79%E -3.11%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.14%E -2.39%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 21:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.79%E -3.11%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.14%E -2.39%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -6.95%E -5.89%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -10.14%E -2.39%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 20:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -6.95%E -5.89%K -38.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -10.14%E -2.39%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.79%E -3.11%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.43%E -3.86%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.37%E -4.48%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.43%E -3.86%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.37%E -4.48%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.43%E -3.86%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 21:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -3.79%E -3.11%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -20.71%E -5.52%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -3.79%E -3.11%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -20.71%E -5.52%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -5.37%E -4.48%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -20.71%E -5.52%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 2.0% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74% | 2.6% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.31% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.69% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 21:07 |