Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks v Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Kickoff: 2026-03-19 20:25 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas Razorbacks (Local)

Prediction 87.82%1.14fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -22.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.87%87.79%88.01%88.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.081.081.1195.24%92.35%92.59%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (Visit)

Prediction 12.18%8.21fair odd
EV +4.79%
Edge +0.556%
Kelly +0.630%
Growth +0.030%

assuming max odds 8.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.16%12.21%11.99%14.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.557.508.6015.38%13.24%13.33%11.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas Razorbacks (Local): 87.82%; Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (Visit): 12.18%. For Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.21. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -5.16%E -4.78%K -64.49%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV +4.79%E +0.556%K +0.630%G +0.030%4.2%2026-03-19 20:19
Pinnacle🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 88.51%EV -3.40%E -3.09%K -34.03%G +0.000%8.47I 11.81%NM 11.49%EV +3.20%E +0.378%K +0.429%G +0.014%2.7%2026-03-19 20:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.26%EV -5.16%E -4.78%K -64.49%G +0.000%8.12I 12.32%NM 11.74%EV -1.06%E -0.131%K -0.149%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 20:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.52%EV -7.79%E -7.42%K -155.87%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.48%EV -1.31%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 20:20
DraftKings🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.28%E -3.93%K -47.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -2.53%E -0.316%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 20:14
Fanatics🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.28%E -3.93%K -47.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -2.53%E -0.316%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 20:19
BetMGM🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.28%E -3.93%K -47.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -2.53%E -0.316%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 20:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.28%E -3.93%K -47.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -2.53%E -0.316%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 20:14
BetUS🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.28%E -3.93%K -47.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -2.53%E -0.316%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 20:14
theScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.16%E -4.78%K -64.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -2.53%E -0.316%K -0.361%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 20:15
Coolbet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.16%E -4.78%K -64.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -2.53%E -0.316%K -0.361%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 20:15
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.40%EV -2.52%E -2.27%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.60%EV -6.18%E -0.803%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-19 20:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -3.40%E -3.09%K -34.03%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV -7.28%E -0.956%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 20:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -3.40%E -3.09%K -34.03%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV -7.28%E -0.956%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 20:14
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.40%E -3.09%K -34.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 20:15
Betway🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.28%E -3.93%K -47.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 20:14
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.28%E -3.93%K -47.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 20:13
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.16%E -4.78%K -64.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 20:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.16%E -4.78%K -64.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 20:14
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.16%E -4.78%K -64.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 20:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.16%E -4.78%K -64.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 20:14
TABtouch🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.16%E -4.78%K -64.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 20:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.16%E -4.78%K -64.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 20:15
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.16%E -4.78%K -64.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 20:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.16%E -4.78%K -64.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 20:14
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.16%E -4.78%K -64.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 20:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.16%E -4.78%K -64.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 20:15
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.16%E -4.78%K -64.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 20:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.16%E -4.78%K -64.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 20:15
Neds🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.16%E -4.78%K -64.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 20:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.16%E -4.78%K -64.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 20:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.16%E -4.78%K -64.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 20:14
William Hill🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.04%E -5.64%K -86.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 20:15
Fliff🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.06%EV -6.04%E -5.64%K -86.25%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.94%EV -12.27%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 20:19
TAB🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.40%E -3.09%K -34.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -14.71%E -2.10%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 20:15
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.16%E -4.78%K -64.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -14.71%E -2.10%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 20:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.04%E -5.64%K -86.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -14.71%E -2.10%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 20:15
Coral🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.04%E -5.64%K -86.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -14.71%E -2.10%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 20:14
NordicBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.04%E -5.64%K -86.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -14.71%E -2.10%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 20:14
Betsson🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.04%E -5.64%K -86.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -14.71%E -2.10%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 20:14
PlayUp🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.40%E -3.09%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -17.76%E -2.63%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 20:14
SportsBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -6.04%E -5.64%K -86.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -20.80%E -3.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 20:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.11I 90.09%NM 90.19%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.81%-0.1%2026-03-19 20:19
ProphetX1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-03-19 20:15
Polymarket1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-17 02:40
Kalshi1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.1%2026-03-19 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 89.91%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09%1.1%2026-03-19 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 89.91%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09%1.1%2026-03-19 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 89.91%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09%1.1%2026-03-19 20:19
BetOpenly1.07I 93.46%NM 90.15%9.79I 10.21%NM 9.85%3.7%2026-03-19 20:19
Smarkets1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%4.8%2026-03-19 20:20