Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions v Miss Valley St Delta Devils

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (Local)

Prediction 88.28%1.13fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -3.46%
Kelly -41.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.41%88.41%88.30%89.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.071.081.0994.34%93.21%92.59%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miss Valley St Delta Devils (Visit)

Prediction 11.72%8.54fair odd
EV +8.25%
Edge +0.893%
Kelly +1.00%
Growth +0.083%

assuming max odds 9.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.29%11.59%11.70%12.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.507.978.009.2413.33%12.55%12.50%10.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (Local): 88.28%; Miss Valley St Delta Devils (Visit): 11.72%. For Miss Valley St Delta Devils (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.54. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.24, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.25%.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.71%EV -6.42%E -6.06%K -106.97%G +0.000%9.24I 10.82%NM 10.29%EV +8.25%E +0.893%K +1.00%G +0.083%5.2%2026-02-28 22:00
FanDuel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.67%EV -6.42%E -6.06%K -106.97%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.33%EV +7.78%E +0.846%K +0.949%G +0.074%5.2%2026-02-28 21:39
theScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.42%E -6.06%K -106.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +5.44%E +0.604%K +0.680%G +0.037%5.5%2026-02-28 22:49
Bovada🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.42%E -6.06%K -106.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +5.44%E +0.604%K +0.680%G +0.037%5.5%2026-02-28 21:43
DraftKings🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.65%E -4.31%K -58.16%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.418%E -0.049%K -0.056%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 23:19
Bet Right🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.54%E -5.17%K -79.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.418%E -0.049%K -0.056%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 23:24
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.42%E -6.06%K -106.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -0.418%E -0.049%K -0.056%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 21:39
1xBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.42%E -6.06%K -106.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -0.418%E -0.049%K -0.056%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 21:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.42%EV -3.77%E -3.46%K -41.89%G +0.000%8.32I 12.02%NM 11.58%EV -2.53%E -0.304%K -0.345%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 21:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.42%EV -3.77%E -3.46%K -41.89%G +0.000%8.32I 12.02%NM 11.58%EV -2.53%E -0.304%K -0.345%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 21:39
BetMGM🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.65%E -4.31%K -58.16%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -3.35%E -0.406%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 21:34
Neds🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -5.54%E -5.17%K -79.08%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -3.35%E -0.406%K -0.462%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 21:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -5.54%E -5.17%K -79.08%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -3.35%E -0.406%K -0.462%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 21:34
Caesars🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.77%E -3.46%K -41.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.28%E -0.784%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 21:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.77%E -3.46%K -41.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.28%E -0.784%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 21:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.65%E -4.31%K -58.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.28%E -0.784%K -0.897%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 21:39
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.65%E -4.31%K -58.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.28%E -0.784%K -0.897%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 23:24
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.42%E -6.06%K -106.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.28%E -0.784%K -0.897%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 21:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.42%E -6.06%K -106.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.28%E -0.784%K -0.897%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 21:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.42%E -6.06%K -106.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.28%E -0.784%K -0.897%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 21:39
Fliff🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.24%EV -6.42%E -6.06%K -106.97%G +0.000%7.95I 12.58%NM 11.76%EV -6.86%E -0.863%K -0.987%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 21:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.65%E -4.31%K -58.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.13%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 21:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.65%E -4.31%K -58.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.13%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 21:44
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.65%E -4.31%K -58.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.13%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 21:44
TABtouch🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.65%E -4.31%K -58.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.13%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 21:44
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.65%E -4.31%K -58.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.13%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 21:44
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.65%E -4.31%K -58.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.13%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 21:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.65%E -4.31%K -58.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.13%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 21:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.65%E -4.31%K -58.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.13%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 21:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.65%E -4.31%K -58.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.13%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 21:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.65%E -4.31%K -58.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.13%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 21:44
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.65%E -4.31%K -58.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.13%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 21:44
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.65%E -4.31%K -58.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.13%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 21:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.65%E -4.31%K -58.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.13%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 21:43
BoyleSports🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.54%E -5.17%K -79.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.13%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 21:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.42%E -6.06%K -106.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -12.13%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 21:34
Coral🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.42%E -6.06%K -106.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -12.13%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 21:39
Betsson🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.42%E -6.06%K -106.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -12.13%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 21:34
NordicBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.42%E -6.06%K -106.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -12.13%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 21:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.10I 90.91%NM 90.72%10.75I 9.30%NM 9.28%0.2%2026-02-28 23:19
Novig1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-02-28 23:24
Polymarket1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-02-28 22:04
ProphetX1.10I 90.91%NM 89.72%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28%1.3%2026-02-28 23:04
Kalshi1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75%2.6%2026-02-28 23:19