Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.49
assuming max odds 2.95
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (Local): 66.38%; Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles (Visit): 33.62%. For Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.95, with an expected value of -0.815%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -1.10%E -0.736%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -9.22%E -3.42%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 21:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.75%E -2.59%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.86%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 21:33 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.50%E -0.861%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 21:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.18%E -1.47%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 21:42 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.42%E -3.07%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.54%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 21:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.08%E -3.55%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.18%E -1.47%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 21:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.08%E -3.55%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.86%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 21:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.74%E -4.04%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.815%E -0.276%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 21:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.74%E -4.04%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.86%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 21:31 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.41%E -4.54%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.86%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 21:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.41%E -4.54%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.86%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 21:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.41%E -4.54%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.86%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 21:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.07%E -5.05%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.22%E -3.42%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 21:31 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.07%E -5.05%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.22%E -3.42%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 21:31 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.07%E -5.05%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.22%E -3.42%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 21:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.07%E -5.05%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.22%E -3.42%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 21:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37% | 2.0% | 2026-02-28 21:44 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 21:44 |
| Novig◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 21:44 |