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Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans v SE Missouri St Redhawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (Local)
Prediction 44.79%2.23fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -3.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.16%44.87%44.73%45.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.102.102.1548.78%47.55%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SE Missouri St Redhawks (Visit)
Prediction 55.21%1.81fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.05%55.13%55.27%55.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.741.7760.61%57.78%57.47%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (Local): 44.79%; SE Missouri St Redhawks (Visit): 55.21%. For SE Missouri St Redhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.77, with an expected value of -2.28%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.93%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 08:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.93%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 08:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.93%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 12:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.93%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.93%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 15:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.93%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 15:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.93%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 15:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.59%E -3.27%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.14%E -3.61%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 16:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.14%E -3.61%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 15:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.15%E -1.94%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.93%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 15:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.15%E -1.94%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.59%E -3.27%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 12:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -5.49%E -2.60%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -2.28%E -1.29%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.28%E -1.29%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 20:31 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.93%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.49%E -2.59%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.49%E -2.59%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.49%E -2.59%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 14:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.49%E -2.59%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.49%E -2.59%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 12:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.80%E -4.67%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 08:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.84%E -3.29%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.83%E -1.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 16:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.84%E -3.29%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.83%E -1.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.84%E -3.29%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.83%E -1.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.84%E -3.29%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.83%E -1.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.84%E -3.29%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.83%E -1.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.84%E -3.29%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.83%E -1.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.84%E -3.29%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.83%E -1.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.84%E -3.29%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.14%E -3.61%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 08:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.84%E -3.29%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.14%E -3.61%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 08:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.84%E -3.29%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.14%E -3.61%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.28%E -3.52%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.83%E -1.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.28%E -3.52%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.83%E -1.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.28%E -3.52%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.83%E -1.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -7.73%E -3.75%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -3.93%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.18%E -3.99%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.69%E -3.96%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.18%E -3.99%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.90%E -5.40%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 16:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.18%E -3.99%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.90%E -5.40%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 16:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.21I 45.25%NM 45.30% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.70% | -0.1% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.25% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.75% | 1.3% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 1.5% | 2026-02-21 20:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.2% | 2026-02-21 20:55 |