Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.14
assuming max odds 7.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Wildcats (Local): 85.17%; Utah State Aggies (Visit): 14.83%. For Utah State Aggies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.74. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.79%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.46%E -4.92%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +3.79%E +0.542%K +0.632%G +0.024% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 23:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.77%EV -2.90%E -2.55%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 6.87I 14.56%NM 14.23%EV +1.87%E +0.272%K +0.318%G +0.006% | 2.3% | 2026-03-22 23:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -4.61%E -4.11%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV +1.72%E +0.250%K +0.293%G +0.005% | 3.9% | 2026-03-23 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -4.61%E -4.11%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV +1.72%E +0.250%K +0.293%G +0.005% | 3.9% | 2026-03-23 00:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -5.46%E -4.92%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV +0.828%E +0.122%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 00:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.61%E -4.11%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.62%E -0.557%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 23:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.61%E -4.11%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.62%E -0.557%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 00:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.61%E -4.11%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.62%E -0.557%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 00:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.61%E -4.11%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.62%E -0.557%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 00:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.61%E -4.11%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.62%E -0.557%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 00:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.61%E -4.11%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.62%E -0.557%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 00:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.61%E -4.11%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.62%E -0.557%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 00:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.61%E -4.11%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.62%E -0.557%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 23:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.61%E -4.11%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.62%E -0.557%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 23:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.61%E -4.11%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.62%E -0.557%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 23:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.61%E -4.11%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.62%E -0.557%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 00:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.61%E -4.11%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.62%E -0.557%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 22:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.31%E -5.74%K -63.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.62%E -0.557%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 23:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.61%E -4.11%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -5.10%E -0.797%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.46%E -4.92%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -5.10%E -0.797%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-23 00:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.46%E -4.92%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -5.10%E -0.797%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-23 00:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.46%E -4.92%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -5.10%E -0.797%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-23 00:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.46%E -4.92%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -5.10%E -0.797%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-23 00:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -3.76%E -3.32%K -28.89%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -6.59%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 00:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -7.16%E -6.57%K -79.58%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.75%EV -6.59%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 23:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.76%E -3.32%K -28.89%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -7.33%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 23:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.31%E -5.74%K -63.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -7.33%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 00:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.31%E -5.74%K -63.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -7.33%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 00:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -5.46%E -4.92%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.50%EV -10.29%E -1.70%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-22 23:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.76%E -3.32%K -28.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.03%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.61%E -4.11%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.03%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 23:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.61%E -4.11%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.03%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.61%E -4.11%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.03%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 23:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.46%E -4.92%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.03%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.46%E -4.92%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.03%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 23:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.46%E -4.92%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.03%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 22:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.46%E -4.92%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.03%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 21:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.31%E -5.74%K -63.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.03%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.90%E -2.55%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -14.00%E -2.41%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.76%E -3.32%K -28.89%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -14.74%E -2.56%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 23:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.46%E -4.92%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -14.74%E -2.56%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 23:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.46%E -4.92%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -14.74%E -2.56%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 23:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.46%E -4.92%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -14.74%E -2.56%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.46%E -4.92%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -14.74%E -2.56%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 23:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88% | 0.1% | 2026-03-23 00:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.45% | 7.34I 13.62%NM 13.55% | 0.6% | 2026-03-22 23:59 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.18% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.82% | 0.6% | 2026-03-23 00:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-03-22 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.75% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25% | 2.0% | 2026-03-23 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71% | 2.3% | 2026-03-23 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57% | 2.4% | 2026-03-23 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57% | 2.4% | 2026-03-23 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |