Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats v UConn Huskies

Kickoff: 2026-04-07 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

69%

31%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 68.69%1.46fair odd

EV +0.288%

Edge +0.197%

Kelly +0.626%

Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

65.73%68.69%69.84%70.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.231.351.361.4681.30%74.01%73.53%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UConn Huskies (Visit)

Prediction 31.31%3.19fair odd

EV +1.76%

Edge +0.540%

Kelly +0.780%

Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.50%31.31%30.16%34.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.803.103.153.2535.71%32.25%31.75%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Wildcats (Local): 68.69%; UConn Huskies (Visit): 31.31%. For UConn Huskies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.76%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +1.76%E +0.540%K +0.780%G +0.014%	4.3%	2026-04-05 00:40
SportsBet🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.38%EV -8.64%E -6.50%K -26.19%G +0.000%	3.16I 31.65%NM 29.62%EV -1.06%E -0.336%K -0.492%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-05 00:40
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.89%E -4.30%K -15.93%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -1.37%E -0.436%K -0.640%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-04-05 00:39
Virgin Bet🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.89%E -4.30%K -15.93%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -1.37%E -0.436%K -0.640%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-04-05 00:39
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.37%E -0.436%K -0.640%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-05 00:39
BetRivers🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.37%E -0.436%K -0.640%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-05 00:40
Unibet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.37%E -0.436%K -0.640%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-05 00:39
betPARX🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.37%E -0.436%K -0.640%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-05 00:39
ATG (SE)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.37%E -0.436%K -0.640%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-05 00:40
Bally Bet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.37%E -0.436%K -0.640%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-05 00:39
TABtouch🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -7.27%E -5.38%K -20.77%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -1.37%E -0.436%K -0.640%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-05 00:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.27%E -5.38%K -20.77%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -2.94%E -0.949%K -1.40%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-04-05 00:39
Svenska Spel🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.27%E -5.38%K -20.77%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -2.94%E -0.949%K -1.40%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-04-05 00:39
LeoVegas🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -11.39%E -8.83%K -39.27%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-04-05 00:39
PMU (FR)🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 69.85%EV -15.51%E -12.61%K -67.44%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 30.15%EV -10.77%E -3.78%K -5.82%G +0.000%	16.4%	2026-04-05 00:39
DraftKings🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV +0.288%E +0.197%K +0.626%G +0.002%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -12.33%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-04-01 00:02

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.