Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.40
assuming max odds 3.28
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Wildcats (Local): 69.65%; Purdue Boilermakers (Visit): 30.35%. For Purdue Boilermakers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.30. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.28, with an expected value of -0.467%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -5.63%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-27 23:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 19:58 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.00%E -4.14%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 20:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -3.18%E -2.29%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -1.38%E -0.424%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-27 18:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.18%E -2.29%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 16:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 05:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.13%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.87%EV -6.23%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 21:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -6.54%E -2.12%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-28 00:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.57%E -3.34%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.38%E -0.424%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 19:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.57%E -3.34%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -2.29%E -0.710%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.57%E -3.34%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -2.29%E -0.710%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 19:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.57%E -3.34%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.89%E -0.905%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 04:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.57%E -3.34%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.89%E -0.905%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 19:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.57%E -3.34%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.89%E -0.905%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 19:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.57%E -3.34%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -4.57%E -3.34%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -9.27%E -3.10%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 18:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.89%E -0.905%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 04:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.89%E -0.905%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-28 01:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-28 01:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-28 01:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-28 01:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-28 01:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-28 01:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-28 01:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-28 01:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-28 01:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-28 01:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-28 01:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.96%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-27 11:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.96%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-27 21:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -5.97%E -4.42%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -0.467%E -0.142%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 15:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.04%EV -5.97%E -4.42%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 30.96%EV -8.66%E -2.88%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.97%E -4.42%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.96%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.97%E -4.42%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.96%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 18:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.66%E -4.97%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-28 00:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.36%E -5.53%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-28 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.36%E -5.53%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.96%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.36%E -5.53%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.96%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.05%EV -9.45%E -7.27%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -12.00%E -4.14%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-03-27 05:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.4% | 2026-03-27 20:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 1.9% | 2026-03-28 01:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.09% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.91% | 1.9% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03% | 7.4% | 2026-03-28 00:20 |