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Arizona Wildcats v Michigan Wolverines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arizona Wildcats (Local)
Prediction 50.44%1.98fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.842%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%50.47%50.52%51.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.861.851.9559.88%53.87%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Michigan Wolverines (Visit)
Prediction 49.56%2.02fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.41%49.53%49.48%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.911.931.9756.50%52.25%51.81%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Wildcats (Local): 50.44%; Michigan Wolverines (Visit): 49.56%. For Arizona Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.98. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.95, with an expected value of -1.64%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.64%E -0.842%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-05 00:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.87%EV -1.64%E -0.842%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.13%EV -3.85%E -1.99%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -3.15%E -1.64%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 00:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.15%E -1.64%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.33%E -3.35%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 20:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 00:47 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 01:08 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 16:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.32%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.16%E -2.19%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-05 00:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.16%E -2.19%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 21:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.16%E -2.19%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 19:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.67%E -2.47%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.35%E -2.25%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 23:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.17%E -2.75%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 01:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.68%E -3.04%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.68%E -3.04%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 00:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.68%E -3.04%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 20:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.68%E -3.04%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.85%E -1.99%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 20:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.68%E -3.04%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.85%E -1.99%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 20:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -3.04%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.32%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.69%E -3.61%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 01:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.69%E -3.61%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 01:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.69%E -3.61%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.86%E -1.46%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 01:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.69%E -3.61%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.86%E -1.46%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 01:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.69%E -3.61%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.86%E -1.46%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 01:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.61%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.31%E -4.49%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 01:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.61%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.31%E -4.49%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 17:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -7.19%E -3.91%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -2.86%E -1.46%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 01:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 01:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 01:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 01:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -3.85%E -1.99%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 01:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.35%E -2.25%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 01:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.35%E -2.25%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 01:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 01:08 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 00:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 00:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.32%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 00:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.31%E -5.09%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -8.70%E -4.81%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -4.85%E -2.52%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 00:43 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.21%E -5.12%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.31%E -4.49%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.21%E -5.12%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.31%E -4.49%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 20:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.39%EV -11.73%E -6.70%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -8.31%E -4.49%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-05 01:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.45%EV -15.76%E -9.44%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 48.55%EV -12.28%E -6.94%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-05 01:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 0.3% | 2026-04-05 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 0.3% | 2026-04-05 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 0.3% | 2026-04-05 00:49 |
| Novig◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 0.3% | 2026-04-05 01:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 01:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 01:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 00:14 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85% | 2.4% | 2026-04-05 01:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 01:14 |