Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.22
assuming max odds 5.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Wildcats (Local): 79.98%; Kansas Jayhawks (Visit): 20.02%. For Kansas Jayhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.00. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.09%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.22%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +8.09%E +1.50%K +1.84%G +0.149% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 19:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +5.09%E +0.969%K +1.20%G +0.061% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 20:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -7.22%E -6.22%K -45.12%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +4.09%E +0.786%K +0.973%G +0.040% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 20:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -7.22%E -6.22%K -45.12%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +4.09%E +0.786%K +0.973%G +0.040% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 20:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.22%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -0.918%E -0.185%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.02%E -3.35%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -1.92%E -0.392%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.22%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.92%E -0.392%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.22%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.92%E -0.392%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.22%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.92%E -0.392%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.22%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.92%E -0.392%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 20:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.82%E -4.05%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -2.92%E -0.602%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:33 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.02%E -3.35%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -3.32%E -0.687%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 20:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.02%E -3.35%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -3.32%E -0.687%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 20:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.02%E -3.35%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -3.92%E -0.817%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 20:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.82%E -7.74%K -62.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -3.92%E -0.817%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 20:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.82%E -7.74%K -62.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -3.92%E -0.817%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 20:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.80%EV -3.22%E -2.66%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.20%EV -4.32%E -0.904%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-28 20:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.02%E -3.35%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.92%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 03:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.02%E -3.35%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.92%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 20:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.92%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -7.22%E -6.22%K -45.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.92%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.22%E -2.66%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -7.92%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 20:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.02%E -3.35%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.92%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 20:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -7.92%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 20:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.45%EV -8.92%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.42%E -1.98%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.02%E -3.35%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 20:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 20:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.22%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 20.92%EV -10.73%E -2.40%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 20:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.42%E -1.98%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -11.93%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.42%E -1.98%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -11.93%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.42%E -1.98%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -11.93%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.42%E -1.98%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -11.93%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.42%E -1.98%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -11.93%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.42%E -1.98%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -11.93%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.42%E -1.98%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -11.93%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.93%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.62%E -4.76%K -31.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.93%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 21:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -2.42%E -1.98%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -12.93%E -2.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 21:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -2.42%E -1.98%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -12.93%E -2.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -2.42%E -1.98%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -12.93%E -2.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.22%E -2.66%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -12.93%E -2.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.02%E -3.35%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -13.93%E -3.24%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 21:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-02-28 21:04 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 21:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 2.0% | 2026-02-28 21:04 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.31% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.69% | 2.5% | 2026-02-28 21:04 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 21:04 |