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Arizona Wildcats v Iowa State Cyclones
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arizona Wildcats (Local)
Prediction 72.59%1.38fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.944%
Kelly -3.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.18%72.42%72.69%74.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.321.321.3678.13%76.03%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Iowa State Cyclones (Visit)
Prediction 27.41%3.65fair odd
EV +1.43%
Edge +0.387%
Kelly +0.531%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.85%27.58%27.31%29.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.383.303.7032.26%29.60%30.30%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Wildcats (Local): 72.59%; Iowa State Cyclones (Visit): 27.41%. For Iowa State Cyclones (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.65. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.43%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +1.43%E +0.387%K +0.531%G +0.008% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 02:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.91%E -3.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.31%E -0.364%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 01:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.31%E -0.364%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-02 22:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -4.19%E -3.17%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -2.41%E -0.676%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-03 01:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -2.68%E -0.755%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-03 02:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.68%E -0.755%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 01:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.68%E -0.755%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 01:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.68%E -0.755%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -4.19%E -3.17%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -3.50%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 02:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -4.19%E -3.17%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -3.50%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 02:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-03 01:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-03 01:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.19%E -3.17%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 02:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.91%E -3.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 01:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.91%E -3.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 01:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 01:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.91%E -3.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 01:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 02:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-02 20:47 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.09%E -5.54%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-02 20:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.09%E -5.54%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-02 20:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 01:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 01:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.19%E -3.17%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 01:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.19%E -3.17%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 01:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.19%E -3.17%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 02:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.19%E -3.17%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 02:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.19%E -3.17%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.19%E -3.17%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 02:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.19%E -3.17%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 02:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.19%E -3.17%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 02:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.19%E -3.17%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 02:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.19%E -3.17%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 02:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.91%E -3.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-03 02:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.91%E -3.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-03 01:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 01:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 01:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.01%E -1.49%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -10.90%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 01:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.90%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 02:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.90%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 01:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.19%E -3.17%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.90%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-03 01:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.19%E -3.17%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.90%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-03 02:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -2.74%E -2.04%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -11.45%E -3.55%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 01:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.28%E -0.944%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -12.27%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 02:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -15.02%E -4.84%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 01:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -15.02%E -4.84%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 01:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-03 02:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70% | 1.7% | 2026-03-03 02:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.32% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.68% | 1.9% | 2026-03-03 02:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 2.2% | 2026-03-03 02:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.37% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.37% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.37% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 02:05 |