Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.26
assuming max odds 4.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Wildcats (Local): 77.24%; Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit): 22.76%. For Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.39. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.40%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +2.40%E +0.533%K +0.685%G +0.016% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 01:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%EV -3.44%E -2.76%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV +0.123%E +0.028%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-27 02:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +0.123%E +0.028%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 01:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.99%E -4.06%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -1.01%E -0.233%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 02:03 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.15%E -0.501%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 01:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.15%E -0.501%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.15%E -0.501%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 01:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -2.84%E -0.664%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 02:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -2.84%E -0.664%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.29%E -0.774%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 01:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.29%E -0.774%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 01:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.29%E -0.774%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 01:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.44%E -2.76%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 01:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 01:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.99%E -4.06%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 01:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.99%E -4.06%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 01:58 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.44%E -2.76%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -6.70%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 01:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.70%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 01:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.70%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 01:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.70%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 01:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.70%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 01:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.70%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 01:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.70%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 01:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.70%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 01:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.70%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 01:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.22%E -3.40%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-27 01:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.99%E -4.06%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-27 01:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.99%E -4.06%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 23:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.99%E -4.06%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 23:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 00:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-24 23:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 01:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-27 01:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.31%E -6.09%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-27 01:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -2.67%E -2.12%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -11.25%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 01:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.25%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 00:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.76%E -4.72%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.25%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 00:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.44%E -2.76%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -12.39%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-26 16:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -4.99%E -4.06%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.26%EV -12.62%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-27 01:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.44%E -2.76%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-27 01:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.44%E -2.76%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-27 01:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.44%E -2.76%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.81%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 01:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.26%EV -4.99%E -4.06%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.74%EV -23.31%E -6.92%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-27 01:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 78.27% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 21.73% | -0.2% | 2026-03-27 02:04 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-03-27 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-03-27 02:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-03-26 21:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 2.1% | 2026-03-27 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 2.1% | 2026-03-27 02:00 |