Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.34
assuming max odds 3.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona St Sun Devils (Local): 72.27%; Utah Utes (Visit): 27.73%. For Utah Utes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.99%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.77%E -5.25%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +3.99%E +1.06%K +1.45%G +0.058% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 15:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -8.94%E -7.10%K -34.39%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV +3.16%E +0.849%K +1.16%G +0.037% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -9.66%E -7.73%K -38.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +2.60%E +0.704%K +0.964%G +0.025% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 15:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 19:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 19:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.60%E -3.49%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 19:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 19:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.33%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 19:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.33%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 19:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.33%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 19:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 19:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.05%E -4.65%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.05%E -4.65%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.05%E -4.65%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 19:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.77%E -5.25%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 19:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.50%E -5.86%K -26.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 19:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.50%E -5.86%K -26.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 19:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.60%E -3.49%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.60%E -3.49%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 19:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.77%E -5.25%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.88%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 19:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.88%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.88%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.88%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.05%E -4.65%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 19:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.05%E -4.65%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 19:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 73.03% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.97% | -0.1% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 19:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 2.2% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 2.2% | 2026-02-28 20:29 |