Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Appalachian St Mountaineers v Georgia Southern Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Appalachian St Mountaineers (Local)

Prediction 72.69%1.38fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -2.50%
Kelly -10.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.11%72.79%72.71%74.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.301.301.3380.00%76.74%76.92%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Georgia Southern Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 27.31%3.66fair odd
EV +1.59%
Edge +0.427%
Kelly +0.584%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 3.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.30%27.21%27.29%28.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.503.503.7231.25%28.61%28.57%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Appalachian St Mountaineers (Local): 72.69%; Georgia Southern Eagles (Visit): 27.31%. For Georgia Southern Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.66. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.72, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.59%.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -8.41%E -6.67%K -32.34%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV +1.59%E +0.427%K +0.584%G +0.009%6.2%2026-02-21 01:35
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.23%E -4.83%K -21.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +1.04%E +0.282%K +0.386%G +0.004%4.5%2026-02-21 17:45
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.70%EV -9.14%E -7.31%K -36.54%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.30%EV +0.770%E +0.209%K +0.286%G +0.002%7.1%2026-02-21 17:45
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.69%E -0.469%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.69%E -0.469%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:25
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.69%E -0.469%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.69%E -0.469%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:25
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.69%E -0.469%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:25
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.69%E -0.469%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.69%E -0.469%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:25
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.69%E -0.469%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.69%E -0.469%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.69%E -0.469%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:25
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.69%E -0.469%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:25
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.05%E -3.07%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.05%E -0.860%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 13:47
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.05%E -3.07%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.05%E -0.860%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 17:25
TABtouch🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.23%E -4.83%K -21.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.05%E -0.860%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 17:25
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.32%E -2.50%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 17:45
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.32%E -2.50%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 16:45
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.05%E -3.07%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.77%E -3.64%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 16:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.77%E -3.64%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 17:15
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.77%E -3.64%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 16:43
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.23%E -4.83%K -21.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 15:44
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.32%E -2.50%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 17:51
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.32%E -2.50%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.32%E -2.50%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.88%EV -6.96%E -5.43%K -24.84%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 17:20
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.32%E -2.50%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:05
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:45
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.23%E -4.83%K -21.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 17:44
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.96%E -5.43%K -24.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 15:45
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.96%E -5.43%K -24.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 15:45
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.96%E -5.43%K -24.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 17:10
TAB🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.32%E -2.50%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.52%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 17:35
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.05%E -3.07%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.52%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.05%E -3.07%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.52%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:00
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 17:02
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 17:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.32I 75.76%NM 75.56%4.08I 24.51%NM 24.44%0.3%2026-02-21 17:45
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-02-21 17:45
Polymarket1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-02-21 14:55
ProphetX1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-02-21 17:55
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 73.31%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.69%1.8%2026-02-21 17:50