Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alcorn St Braves v Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 02:37 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alcorn St Braves (Local)

Prediction 46.90%2.13fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -3.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%46.93%46.75%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.022.042.0551.28%49.42%49.02%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (Visit)

Prediction 53.10%1.88fair odd
EV -0.708%
Edge -0.379%
Kelly -0.814%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%53.07%53.25%53.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.791.791.8757.80%55.96%55.87%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alcorn St Braves (Local): 46.90%; Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (Visit): 53.10%. For Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.87, with an expected value of -0.708%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.85%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 02:35
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.85%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 02:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.85%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 02:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.85%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 02:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.85%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 02:35
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.85%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 02:35
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.85%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 02:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.85%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 02:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.85%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 02:35
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.85%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 02:35
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.85%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 02:34
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.32%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 02:35
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.32%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 02:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.32%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 02:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.26%E -2.60%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 02:35
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.26%E -2.60%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 02:35
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.19%E -3.10%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.36%E -1.85%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 02:35
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.19%E -3.10%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 02:35
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.19%E -3.10%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 02:35
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.19%E -3.10%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 02:35
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.19%E -3.10%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.14%E -4.71%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 02:33
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.54%E -4.38%K -8.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.708%E -0.379%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 02:34
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.54%E -4.38%K -8.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.14%E -4.71%K -11.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 02:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.54%E -4.38%K -8.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.14%E -4.71%K -11.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 02:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-03-06 02:35
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-03-06 02:35