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Albany Great Danes v Merrimack Warriors

Kickoff: 2026-11-08 19:03 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Albany Great Danes (Local)

Prediction 45.07%2.22fair odd
EV +0.060%
Edge +0.027%
Kelly +0.049%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.22%45.02%45.22%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.092.102.2250.00%47.84%47.62%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Merrimack Warriors (Visit)

Prediction 54.93%1.82fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.938%
Kelly -2.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%54.98%54.78%56.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.721.701.7959.52%58.16%58.82%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Albany Great Danes (Local): 45.07%; Merrimack Warriors (Visit): 54.93%. For Albany Great Danes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.219. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.220, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.060%.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV +0.060%E +0.027%K +0.049%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -7.17%E -4.24%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-08 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-08 18:50
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-08 17:44
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.55%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-08 17:45
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.88%E -2.21%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 18:45
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 18:50
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 18:49
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 18:45
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 18:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-08 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-08 18:45
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-08 18:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-08 18:45
Bet Right🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.90%E -2.32%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-08 17:10
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-08 16:39
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-08 18:55
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-08 18:55
picklebet_au🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.88%E -2.21%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-08 18:05
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 16:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-08 17:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.17%E -4.24%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-08 18:50
ReBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.80%E -2.77%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.88%E -2.21%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 16:35
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -6.25%E -3.00%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -1.68%E -0.938%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-08 17:00
SportsBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -7.15%E -3.47%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.07%E -3.55%K -8.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-08 16:30
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.21%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-08 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.21%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-08 16:15
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.21%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-08 16:15
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-08 16:35
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-08 16:35
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-08 14:00
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-08 13:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-08 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-08 14:00
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-08 14:55
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-08 14:50
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-08 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-08 16:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-11-08 18:50
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-11-08 17:20
ProphetX◎2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%2.1%2026-11-08 18:55
BetOpenly◎2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%4.1%2026-11-08 18:49

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