Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama St Hornets v Alcorn St Braves

Kickoff: 2026-03-09 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama St Hornets (Local)

Prediction 75.19%1.33fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -7.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.94%75.12%75.27%76.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.271.3081.97%78.88%78.74%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alcorn St Braves (Visit)

Prediction 24.81%4.03fair odd
EV +1.74%
Edge +0.423%
Kelly +0.560%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.36%24.88%24.73%27.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.763.804.1028.99%26.61%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alabama St Hornets (Local): 75.19%; Alcorn St Braves (Visit): 24.81%. For Alcorn St Braves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.74%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.02%E -4.81%K -24.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +1.74%E +0.423%K +0.560%G +0.010%4.4%2026-03-09 17:28
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%EV -3.01%E -2.33%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV -0.746%E -0.187%K -0.249%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-09 17:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.51%E -3.55%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.746%E -0.187%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-09 17:30
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.02%E -4.81%K -24.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.746%E -0.187%K -0.249%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 17:55
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.27%E -6.78%K -37.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.746%E -0.187%K -0.249%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 17:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -4.51%E -3.55%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -1.74%E -0.439%K -0.587%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -4.51%E -3.55%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -1.74%E -0.439%K -0.587%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 17:49
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.51%E -3.55%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.99%E -0.503%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 17:49
GTbets🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.51%E -3.55%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.99%E -0.503%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 17:55
Everygame🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.51%E -3.55%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.99%E -0.503%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 17:49
ReBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.26%E -4.18%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.23%E -0.828%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 17:39
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.76%E -2.94%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.71%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 17:52
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.51%E -3.55%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.71%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.51%E -3.55%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.71%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 17:45
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.51%E -3.55%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.71%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 17:44
LeoVegas🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.51%E -3.55%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.71%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 17:44
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.51%E -3.55%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.71%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 17:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.51%E -3.55%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.71%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 17:44
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.51%E -3.55%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.71%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 17:44
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.51%E -3.55%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.71%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.51%E -3.55%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.71%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 17:45
Betsson🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.52%E -6.11%K -32.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.71%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 17:44
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.52%E -6.11%K -32.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.71%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 17:44
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.01%E -2.33%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.95%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 17:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.51%E -3.55%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.95%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 17:39
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.02%E -4.81%K -24.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.95%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 17:30
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -3.76%E -2.94%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -7.45%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 17:45
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -5.26%E -4.18%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -7.69%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.76%E -2.94%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.19%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 17:54
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.76%E -2.94%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.19%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 17:54
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.76%E -2.94%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.19%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 17:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.76%E -2.94%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.19%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 17:34
Fliff🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.02%E -4.81%K -24.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.19%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 17:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.54%EV -6.02%E -4.81%K -24.07%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.46%EV -9.18%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 17:49
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -2.26%E -1.74%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -10.67%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 17:54
TAB🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.01%E -2.33%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.67%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 17:45
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.01%E -2.33%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.67%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 17:54
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.76%E -2.94%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -13.15%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 17:45
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.51%E -3.55%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.15%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 17:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.02%E -4.81%K -24.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.15%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 17:34
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.02%E -4.81%K -24.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.15%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.76%E -2.94%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -14.39%E -4.17%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -4.51%E -3.55%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -14.39%E -4.17%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 17:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -4.51%E -3.55%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -14.39%E -4.17%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 17:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%0.1%2026-03-09 17:55
BetOpenly1.31I 76.34%NM 76.14%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.86%0.3%2026-03-09 17:54
Polymarket1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-09 17:55
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-03-09 17:54
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 74.66%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.34%2.2%2026-03-09 17:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%2.9%2026-03-09 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%2.9%2026-03-09 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%2.9%2026-03-09 17:50