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Alabama Crimson Tide v Mississippi St Bulldogs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)
Prediction 86.96%1.15fair odd
EV -3.47%
Edge -3.13%
Kelly -31.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.70%86.75%86.63%88.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.101.101.1192.59%91.07%90.91%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mississippi St Bulldogs (Visit)
Prediction 13.04%7.67fair odd
EV +11.35%
Edge +1.33%
Kelly +1.51%
Growth +0.171%
assuming max odds 8.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.23%13.25%13.37%16.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.706.826.608.5417.54%14.66%15.15%11.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local): 86.96%; Mississippi St Bulldogs (Visit): 13.04%. For Mississippi St Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.67. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.54, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.35%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -6.08%E -5.63%K -76.03%G +0.000% | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV +11.35%E +1.33%K +1.51%G +0.171% | 4.3% | 2026-02-25 23:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -6.08%E -5.63%K -76.03%G +0.000% | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV +11.35%E +1.33%K +1.51%G +0.171% | 4.3% | 2026-02-25 23:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.57%EV -5.21%E -4.78%K -57.92%G +0.000% | 8.45I 11.83%NM 11.43%EV +10.18%E +1.20%K +1.37%G +0.139% | 3.6% | 2026-02-26 01:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.21%E -4.78%K -57.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +4.31%E +0.539%K +0.616%G +0.027% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 00:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.21%E -4.78%K -57.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +4.31%E +0.539%K +0.616%G +0.027% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 23:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.21%E -4.78%K -57.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +4.31%E +0.539%K +0.616%G +0.027% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 23:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.08%E -5.63%K -76.03%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +4.31%E +0.539%K +0.616%G +0.027% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 00:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.34%E -3.95%K -43.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.21%E -0.294%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 01:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.34%E -3.95%K -43.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.21%E -0.294%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 01:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.08%E -5.63%K -76.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.21%E -0.294%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-25 23:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.08%E -5.63%K -76.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.21%E -0.294%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-25 23:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.08%E -5.63%K -76.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.21%E -0.294%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-25 23:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.47%E -3.13%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -8.73%E -1.25%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 23:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.08%E -5.63%K -76.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.73%E -1.25%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -3.47%E -3.13%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV -10.03%E -1.45%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 01:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -4.34%E -3.95%K -43.43%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -11.33%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-25 23:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -4.34%E -3.95%K -43.43%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -11.33%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-25 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.08%E -5.63%K -76.03%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -11.99%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 01:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.08%E -5.63%K -76.03%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -11.99%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 01:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.01%EV -5.21%E -4.78%K -57.92%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.99%EV -12.64%E -1.89%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 01:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.47%E -3.13%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -15.25%E -2.35%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 23:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.34%E -3.95%K -43.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.25%E -2.35%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 23:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.34%E -3.95%K -43.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.25%E -2.35%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.21%E -4.78%K -57.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -15.25%E -2.35%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 23:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.21%E -4.78%K -57.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -15.25%E -2.35%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 23:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.34%E -3.95%K -43.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -18.51%E -2.96%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 00:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -3.47%E -3.13%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -20.46%E -3.35%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -3.47%E -3.13%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -20.46%E -3.35%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -3.47%E -3.13%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -20.46%E -3.35%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -3.47%E -3.13%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -20.46%E -3.35%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 01:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -3.47%E -3.13%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -20.46%E -3.35%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -3.47%E -3.13%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -20.46%E -3.35%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 01:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -3.47%E -3.13%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -20.46%E -3.35%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 01:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.47%E -3.13%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -21.77%E -3.63%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.47%E -3.13%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -21.77%E -3.63%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.47%E -3.13%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -21.77%E -3.63%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 23:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.47%E -3.13%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -21.77%E -3.63%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.47%E -3.13%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -21.77%E -3.63%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 23:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.47%E -3.13%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -21.77%E -3.63%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 23:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.70%EV -3.47%E -3.13%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -25.68%E -4.50%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-26 01:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.59% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.41% | 0.8% | 2026-02-26 01:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.1% | 2026-02-26 01:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.1% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.30% | 8.45I 11.83%NM 11.70% | 1.1% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.78% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.22% | 2.4% | 2026-02-26 02:00 |