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Alabama Crimson Tide v Hofstra Pride
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)
Prediction 83.41%1.20fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -2.80%
Kelly -20.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.43%83.55%83.36%85.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.131.131.1690.09%88.29%88.50%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hofstra Pride (Visit)
Prediction 16.59%6.03fair odd
EV +7.83%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +0.111%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.70%16.45%16.64%18.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.795.756.5020.00%17.26%17.39%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local): 83.41%; Hofstra Pride (Visit): 16.59%. For Hofstra Pride (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.03. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.83%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.86%EV -3.24%E -2.80%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 15.14%EV +7.83%E +1.20%K +1.42%G +0.111% | 1.6% | 2026-03-20 19:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +7.83%E +1.20%K +1.42%G +0.111% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +7.83%E +1.20%K +1.42%G +0.111% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +7.83%E +1.20%K +1.42%G +0.111% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 18:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +7.83%E +1.20%K +1.42%G +0.111% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +7.83%E +1.20%K +1.42%G +0.111% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +7.83%E +1.20%K +1.42%G +0.111% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +7.83%E +1.20%K +1.42%G +0.111% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.75%E -5.08%K -44.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.467%E -0.078%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.467%E -0.078%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.467%E -0.078%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.467%E -0.078%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -7.41%E -6.68%K -67.40%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -2.13%E -0.360%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -3.79%E -0.653%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -3.79%E -0.653%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -3.79%E -0.653%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.08%E -3.55%K -27.18%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -4.45%E -0.772%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.08%E -3.55%K -27.18%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -4.45%E -0.772%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.08%E -3.55%K -27.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -4.61%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.08%E -3.55%K -27.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -4.61%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 19:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.61%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 19:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.61%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 19:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.61%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 19:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.75%E -5.08%K -44.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.61%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.43%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.08%G +0.000% | 5.74I 17.42%NM 16.57%EV -4.78%E -0.833%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.08%E -3.55%K -27.18%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -5.44%E -0.955%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 19:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.08%E -3.55%K -27.18%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -7.10%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 19:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.08%E -3.55%K -27.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.76%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.08%E -3.55%K -27.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.76%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 18:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.76%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.76%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.76%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.76%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 19:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.76%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 19:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.76%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 19:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.08%E -3.55%K -27.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.91%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -5.75%E -5.08%K -44.19%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -12.91%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -12.91%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -12.91%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.08%E -3.55%K -27.18%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -13.74%E -2.64%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -17.06%E -3.41%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 19:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 84.11% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.89% | -0.1% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.73% | 6.49I 15.41%NM 15.27% | 0.9% | 2026-03-20 19:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.2% | 2026-03-18 03:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65% | 2.2% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23% | 2.6% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.42% | 6.62I 15.11%NM 14.58% | 3.6% | 2026-03-20 19:14 |