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Alabama Crimson Tide v Auburn Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)
Prediction 70.35%1.42fair odd
EV +0.605%
Edge +0.423%
Kelly +1.41%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.91%69.96%70.40%73.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.371.381.4376.34%72.79%72.46%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Auburn Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 29.65%3.37fair odd
EV +6.73%
Edge +1.87%
Kelly +2.59%
Growth +0.174%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.68%30.04%29.60%33.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.053.003.6036.36%32.83%33.33%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local): 70.35%; Auburn Tigers (Visit): 29.65%. For Auburn Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.73%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -7.84%E -5.98%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +6.73%E +1.87%K +2.59%G +0.174% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 01:32 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -0.683%E -0.204%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 01:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV -2.17%E -0.656%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-08 01:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.32%E -3.18%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.17%E -0.656%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 01:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.32%E -3.18%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.17%E -0.656%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 01:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.32%E -3.18%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 01:31 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.32%E -3.18%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 01:31 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.32%E -3.18%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 01:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 01:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -7.84%E -5.98%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -3.94%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 01:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.32%E -3.18%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -4.54%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 01:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 01:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.32%E -3.18%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 01:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.32%E -3.18%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.61%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 01:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.32%E -3.18%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.61%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 01:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 01:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 01:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.43%E -4.83%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 01:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -2.21%E -1.59%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -9.58%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 01:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.51%E -1.08%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 01:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.32%E -3.18%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 01:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -4.32%E -3.18%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -11.65%E -3.91%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 01:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV +0.605%E +0.423%K +1.41%G +0.009% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -12.54%E -4.25%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 01:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -1.51%E -1.08%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -12.54%E -4.25%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 01:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -1.51%E -1.08%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -12.54%E -4.25%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 01:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.51%E -1.08%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -14.02%E -4.84%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 01:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -1.51%E -1.08%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -14.62%E -5.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 01:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -1.51%E -1.08%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -14.62%E -5.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 01:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -1.51%E -1.08%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -14.62%E -5.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 01:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -1.51%E -1.08%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -14.62%E -5.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 01:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -1.51%E -1.08%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -14.62%E -5.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 01:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -1.51%E -1.08%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -14.62%E -5.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 01:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -1.51%E -1.08%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -14.62%E -5.08%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 01:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -1.51%E -1.08%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -15.51%E -5.44%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 01:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -1.51%E -1.08%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -15.51%E -5.44%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 01:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -1.51%E -1.08%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -15.51%E -5.44%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 01:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -1.51%E -1.08%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -15.51%E -5.44%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 01:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -1.51%E -1.08%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -15.51%E -5.44%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 01:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -15.51%E -5.44%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 01:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -4.32%E -3.18%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -18.47%E -6.72%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 01:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -4.32%E -3.18%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -18.47%E -6.72%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 01:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-08 01:34 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-03-08 01:29 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03% | 2.8% | 2026-03-08 01:34 |
| Novig◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.58% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.42% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.78% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22% | 10.4% | 2026-03-08 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.78% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22% | 10.4% | 2026-03-08 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.78% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22% | 10.4% | 2026-03-08 01:35 |