The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Alabama Crimson Tide v Arkansas St Red Wolves

2026-11-07 00:30 UTC — NCAAB

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)

Prediction 97.27%1.03fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -175.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
92.31%96.55%97.30%98.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.90%100.00%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arkansas St Red Wolves (Visit)

Prediction 2.73%36.65fair odd
EV +39.14%
Edge +0.767%
Kelly +0.783%
Growth +0.306%

assuming max odds 51.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
1.92%3.45%2.70%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0032.0031.5051.008.33%3.13%3.17%1.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local): 97.27%; Arkansas St Red Wolves (Visit): 2.73%. For Arkansas St Red Wolves (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 36.65. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 51.00, producing a positive expected value of +39.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -2.73%E -2.73%K +0.000%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV +39.14%E +0.767%K +0.783%G +0.306%2.0%2026-11-05 19:59
Fanatics🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 97.85%EV -1.76%E -1.74%K -175.55%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.15%EV +25.50%E +0.554%K +0.567%G +0.144%1.2%2026-11-05 20:00
SportsBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -2.73%E -2.73%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +11.86%E +0.289%K +0.296%G +0.035%2.4%2026-11-05 19:58
FanDuel🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%EV -2.73%E -2.73%K +0.000%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.70%EV -1.79%E -0.050%K -0.051%G +0.000%2.8%2026-11-05 19:59
Paddy Power🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -2.73%E -2.73%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV -7.24%E -0.213%K -0.219%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-05 20:00
888sport🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -2.73%E -2.73%K +0.000%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV -20.88%E -0.720%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-05 20:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -2.73%E -2.73%K +0.000%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV -20.88%E -0.720%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-05 20:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -2.73%E -2.73%K +0.000%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV -20.88%E -0.720%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-05 19:59
BoyleSports🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.86%EV -2.73%E -2.73%K +0.000%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -64.53%E -4.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-05 19:59
picklebet_au🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -2.73%E -2.73%K +0.000%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -67.26%E -5.61%K -6.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-05 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.0%2026-11-05 17:25
Polymarket◎1.00I 100.00%NM 79.38%3.85I 25.97%NM 20.62%26.0%2026-11-05 17:25