Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.80
assuming max odds 2.24
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alabama A&M Bulldogs (Local): 54.77%; Grambling St Tigers (Visit): 45.23%. For Grambling St Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.24, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.31%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -7.99%E -4.75%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV +1.31%E +0.586%K +1.06%G +0.014% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 02:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.53%E -5.11%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.496%E -0.225%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 02:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.70%E -2.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 02:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.15%E -2.37%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 02:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.03%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 02:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.03%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 02:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.03%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 02:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.03%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 02:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.03%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 02:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.03%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 02:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.34%E -3.71%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 02:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.34%E -3.71%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 02:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.41%E -0.785%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 02:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.96%E -1.10%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 02:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.96%E -1.10%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 02:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.96%E -1.10%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 02:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.96%E -1.10%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 02:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.96%E -1.10%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 02:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.96%E -1.10%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 02:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.96%E -1.10%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 02:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.70%E -2.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 02:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.53%E -5.11%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 02:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.53%E -5.11%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 02:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.51%E -1.41%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.73%E -3.79%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 02:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.51%E -1.41%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.73%E -3.79%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 02:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.51%E -1.41%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.73%E -3.79%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 02:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -3.06%E -1.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -8.64%E -4.28%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 02:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -3.60%E -2.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -8.64%E -4.28%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 02:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 02:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-03-04 02:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 02:13 |