Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Akron Zips v Northern Illinois Huskies

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Akron Zips (Local)

Prediction 95.26%1.05fair odd
EV -3.79%
Edge -3.75%
Kelly -379.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
92.31%95.00%95.96%96.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.59%100.00%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northern Illinois Huskies (Visit)

Prediction 4.74%21.08fair odd
EV +37.55%
Edge +1.29%
Kelly +1.34%
Growth +0.503%

assuming max odds 29.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.37%5.00%4.04%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0020.4221.0029.008.33%4.90%4.76%3.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Akron Zips (Local): 95.26%; Northern Illinois Huskies (Visit): 4.74%. For Northern Illinois Huskies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 21.08. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 29.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +37.55%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -379.04%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +37.55%E +1.29%K +1.34%G +0.503%2.5%2026-03-06 06:00
theScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -379.04%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +23.32%E +0.897%K +0.933%G +0.217%2.9%2026-03-06 21:05
FanDuel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -379.04%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +18.57%E +0.743%K +0.774%G +0.144%3.0%2026-03-06 21:05
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -379.04%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +9.09%E +0.395%K +0.413%G +0.038%3.4%2026-03-06 17:00
William Hill🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -379.04%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -0.397%E -0.019%K -0.020%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 03:40
SportsBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.74%E -4.74%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -0.397%E -0.019%K -0.020%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 22:00
1xBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.74%E -4.74%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -0.397%E -0.019%K -0.020%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 21:10
Coral🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.74%E -4.74%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -0.397%E -0.019%K -0.020%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.74%E -4.74%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -0.397%E -0.019%K -0.020%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 17:00
BoyleSports🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.86%EV -4.74%E -4.74%K +0.000%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -38.34%E -2.95%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 21:10
NordicBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -4.74%E -4.74%K +0.000%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -43.08%E -3.59%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 22:30
Betsson🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -4.74%E -4.74%K +0.000%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -43.08%E -3.59%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 22:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.02I 98.04%NM 98.42%63.50I 1.57%NM 1.58%-0.4%2026-03-06 22:39
Novig1.03I 97.09%NM 96.62%29.41I 3.40%NM 3.38%0.5%2026-03-06 22:45
Kalshi1.02I 98.04%NM 97.03%33.33I 3.00%NM 2.97%1.0%2026-03-06 15:20
Polymarket1.03I 97.09%NM 95.95%24.39I 4.10%NM 4.05%1.2%2026-03-06 22:55
ProphetX1.02I 98.04%NM 95.57%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.43%2.6%2026-03-06 22:55