Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Akron Zips v Buffalo Bulls

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Akron Zips (Local)

Prediction 86.18%1.16fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -20.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.43%86.02%86.31%88.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.111.111.1392.59%90.39%90.09%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Buffalo Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 13.82%7.24fair odd
EV +10.56%
Edge +1.32%
Kelly +1.51%
Growth +0.159%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.99%13.98%13.69%17.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.306.636.508.0018.87%15.08%15.38%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Akron Zips (Local): 86.18%; Buffalo Bulls (Visit): 13.82%. For Buffalo Bulls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.24. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.56%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -6.06%E -5.56%K -67.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +10.56%E +1.32%K +1.51%G +0.159%4.2%2026-03-12 19:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.72%EV -5.20%E -4.73%K -52.02%G +0.000%7.86I 12.72%NM 12.28%EV +8.63%E +1.10%K +1.26%G +0.108%3.6%2026-03-12 19:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.72%EV -5.20%E -4.73%K -52.02%G +0.000%7.86I 12.72%NM 12.28%EV +8.63%E +1.10%K +1.26%G +0.108%3.6%2026-03-12 19:04
BetUS🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -5.20%E -4.73%K -52.02%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +7.80%E +0.999%K +1.15%G +0.089%3.7%2026-03-12 19:00
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -4.34%E -3.91%K -39.46%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV +7.10%E +0.917%K +1.05%G +0.075%3.0%2026-03-12 19:30
Everygame🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -6.06%E -5.56%K -67.38%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV +7.10%E +0.917%K +1.05%G +0.075%4.6%2026-03-12 17:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.20%E -4.73%K -52.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.65%E +0.487%K +0.562%G +0.020%4.2%2026-03-12 17:25
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.67%EV -4.34%E -3.91%K -39.46%G +0.000%7.22I 13.85%NM 13.33%EV -0.220%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 18:15
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -4.34%E -3.91%K -39.46%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV -1.88%E -0.265%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 19:45
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.34%E -3.91%K -39.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.26%E -0.466%K -0.543%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 17:35
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.34%E -3.91%K -39.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.26%E -0.466%K -0.543%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 17:00
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.34%E -3.91%K -39.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.26%E -0.466%K -0.543%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 19:30
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.34%E -3.91%K -39.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.26%E -0.466%K -0.543%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 17:39
ReBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.20%E -4.73%K -52.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.26%E -0.466%K -0.543%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 19:35
William Hill🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.93%E -6.41%K -86.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.26%E -0.466%K -0.543%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 18:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -5.20%E -4.73%K -52.02%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -6.02%E -0.886%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 17:00
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -5.20%E -4.73%K -52.02%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -6.02%E -0.886%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 17:00
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.83%EV -6.06%E -5.56%K -67.38%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.17%EV -8.79%E -1.33%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 19:45
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.34%E -3.91%K -39.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.17%E -1.56%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:05
TAB🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.34%E -3.91%K -39.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.17%E -1.56%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 14:15
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.20%E -4.73%K -52.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.17%E -1.56%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.06%E -5.56%K -67.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.17%E -1.56%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 17:00
Coral🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.06%E -5.56%K -67.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.17%E -1.56%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.06%E -5.56%K -67.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.17%E -1.56%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 17:25
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.93%E -6.41%K -86.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.17%E -1.56%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 19:35
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.06%E -5.56%K -67.38%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -13.63%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 19:30
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.06%E -5.56%K -67.38%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -13.63%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 19:30
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.48%E -3.11%K -28.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.70%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 19:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.48%E -3.11%K -28.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.70%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.48%E -3.11%K -28.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.70%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 19:50
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.48%E -3.11%K -28.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.70%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 19:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.48%E -3.11%K -28.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.70%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 19:45
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.48%E -3.11%K -28.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.70%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 19:50
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.48%E -3.11%K -28.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.70%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 19:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.48%E -3.11%K -28.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.70%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 19:50
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.48%E -3.11%K -28.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.70%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.48%E -3.11%K -28.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.08%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 19:50
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.48%E -3.11%K -28.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.08%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 19:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.48%E -3.11%K -28.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.08%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 19:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.48%E -3.11%K -28.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.08%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 19:48
PlayUp🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.34%E -3.91%K -39.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.08%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.20%E -4.73%K -52.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.08%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 19:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -2.62%E -2.32%K -20.13%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -26.75%E -5.05%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 17:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.13I 88.50%NM 88.27%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.73%0.3%2026-03-12 19:50
ProphetX1.12I 89.29%NM 89.04%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.96%0.3%2026-03-12 19:30
Polymarket1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.1%2026-03-12 16:25
Kalshi1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-03-12 19:00
Novig1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.8%2026-03-12 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.8%2026-03-12 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.8%2026-03-12 19:45