L’École des cotes

Air Force Falcons v UNLV Rebels

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Air Force Falcons (Local)

Prévision 9.06%11.03cote équitable
EV +8.75%
Avantage +0.729%
Kelly +0.796%
Croissance +0.070%

avec la cote maximale 12.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.98%9.19%9.02%10.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
9.009.9510.0012.0011.11%10.05%10.00%8.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

UNLV Rebels (Visiteur)

Prévision 90.94%1.10cote équitable
EV -3.61%
Avantage -3.40%
Kelly -60.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
89.46%90.81%90.98%92.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.021.051.051.0698.04%95.17%95.24%94.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +8.75%E +0.729%K +0.796%G +0.070%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 14:05
Marathon Bet11.25I 8.89%NM 8.31%EV +1.96%E +0.174%K +0.191%G +0.004%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.69%EV -7.24%E -7.10%K -362.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 19:55
Pinnacle11.12I 8.99%NM 8.63%EV +0.779%E +0.070%K +0.077%G +0.001%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.37%EV -4.52%E -4.30%K -90.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 19:30
PointsBet (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -0.309%E -0.028%K -0.031%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.61%E -3.40%K -60.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 17:30
BetUS11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -0.309%E -0.028%K -0.031%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.61%E -3.40%K -60.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 18:35
DraftKings11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -0.309%E -0.028%K -0.031%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.61%E -3.40%K -60.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 19:10
Hard Rock Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -0.309%E -0.028%K -0.031%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.52%E -4.30%K -90.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 17:29
theScore Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -0.309%E -0.028%K -0.031%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.52%E -4.30%K -90.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 12:45
BetOnline.ag10.79I 9.27%NM 8.95%EV -2.21%E -0.205%K -0.226%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.05%EV -3.61%E -3.40%K -60.11%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 18:35
LowVig.ag10.79I 9.27%NM 8.95%EV -2.21%E -0.205%K -0.226%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.05%EV -3.61%E -3.40%K -60.11%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 18:35
Caesars10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -4.84%E -0.461%K -0.510%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.61%E -3.40%K -60.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 18:35
BetMGM10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -4.84%E -0.461%K -0.510%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.52%E -4.30%K -90.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 18:34
Bovada10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -4.84%E -0.461%K -0.510%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.52%E -4.30%K -90.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 19:04
Ladbrokes (AU)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -4.84%E -0.461%K -0.510%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 18:34
Neds10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -4.84%E -0.461%K -0.510%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 18:35
Fliff10.05I 9.95%NM 9.30%EV -8.92%E -0.887%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.70%EV -6.33%E -6.15%K -211.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 19:20
888sport10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.37%E -0.937%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.52%E -4.30%K -90.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 17:35
888sport (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.37%E -0.937%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.52%E -4.30%K -90.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 17:35
Mr Green (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.37%E -0.937%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.52%E -4.30%K -90.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 17:35
Betway10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.37%E -0.937%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.52%E -4.30%K -90.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 02:05
PlayUp10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.37%E -0.937%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.52%E -4.30%K -90.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 17:30
Coral10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.37%E -0.937%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.37%E -0.937%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 18:35
1xBet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.37%E -0.937%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 16:50
SportsBet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -13.90%E -1.46%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 00:29
Virgin Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -18.43%E -2.05%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.61%E -3.40%K -60.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 18:40
BetRivers9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -18.43%E -2.05%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.61%E -3.40%K -60.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 18:40
Unibet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -18.43%E -2.05%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.61%E -3.40%K -60.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 18:40
LiveScore Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -18.43%E -2.05%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.61%E -3.40%K -60.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 18:40
TABtouch9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -18.43%E -2.05%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.61%E -3.40%K -60.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 18:40
LeoVegas9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -18.43%E -2.05%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.61%E -3.40%K -60.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 18:45
Unibet (NL)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -18.43%E -2.05%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.61%E -3.40%K -60.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 18:45
Bally Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -18.43%E -2.05%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.61%E -3.40%K -60.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 18:45
betPARX9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -18.43%E -2.05%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.61%E -3.40%K -60.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 18:45
ATG (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -18.43%E -2.05%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.61%E -3.40%K -60.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 18:40
Svenska Spel9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -18.43%E -2.05%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.61%E -3.40%K -60.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 18:40
TAB9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -18.43%E -2.05%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.61%E -3.40%K -60.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 14:10
NordicBet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -18.43%E -2.05%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 09:34
Betsson9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -18.43%E -2.05%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 09:35
BoyleSports9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -18.43%E -2.05%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 17:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly15.28I 6.54%NM 6.54%1.07I 93.46%NM 93.46%0.0%2026-02-21 19:15
Novig11.90I 8.40%NM 8.32%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.68%1.0%2026-02-21 19:54
Polymarket11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%1.6%2026-02-21 19:40
Kalshi12.50I 8.00%NM 7.82%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.18%2.3%2026-02-21 19:55
ProphetX10.70I 9.35%NM 9.09%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.91%2.8%2026-02-21 19:40