Language:English
Air Force Falcons v San José St Spartans
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Air Force Falcons (Local)
Prediction 29.03%3.44fair odd
EV +7.42%
Edge +2.00%
Kelly +2.75%
Growth +0.204%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.46%28.79%29.16%30.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.323.303.7032.26%30.16%30.30%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San José St Spartans (Visit)
Prediction 70.97%1.41fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -5.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.67%71.21%70.84%74.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.331.321.3880.00%75.43%75.76%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Air Force Falcons (Local): 29.03%; San José St Spartans (Visit): 70.97%. For Air Force Falcons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +7.42%E +2.00%K +2.75%G +0.204% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -8.45%E -6.55%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-25 01:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.46%EV +6.25%E +1.71%K +2.35%G +0.147% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.54%EV -11.29%E -9.03%K -45.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-25 01:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV +0.738%E +0.213%K +0.299%G +0.002% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-25 01:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.29%E -0.381%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.90%E -3.66%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-25 01:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.29%E -0.381%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 01:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.29%E -0.381%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 01:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.29%E -0.381%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 01:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.29%E -0.381%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 01:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.29%E -0.381%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 01:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.29%E -0.381%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 01:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.29%E -0.381%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 01:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.29%E -0.381%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 01:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.29%E -0.381%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 01:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.29%E -0.381%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 01:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.29%E -0.381%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 01:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -2.75%E -0.820%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 01:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -2.75%E -0.820%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 01:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.20%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-24 18:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.20%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-25 01:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.20%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.19%E -3.11%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 01:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.20%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.19%E -3.11%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 01:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.20%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 01:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.20%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 01:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.20%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 01:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.20%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 01:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -4.78%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -4.19%E -3.11%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 01:43 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -5.36%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 01:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -5.36%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 01:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 01:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-24 19:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.65%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-24 21:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.10%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 01:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -7.68%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 01:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -7.97%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -2.06%E -1.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-25 01:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -8.55%E -2.71%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -2.77%E -2.02%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 01:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -8.55%E -2.71%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 01:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.55%E -2.71%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 01:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.55%E -2.71%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 01:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-25 01:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-25 01:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 4.08I 24.51%NM 24.44% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.56% | 0.3% | 2026-02-25 01:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 1.0% | 2026-02-24 23:49 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 1.0% | 2026-02-25 01:45 |
| Novig◎ | 3.62I 27.62%NM 27.31% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.69% | 1.2% | 2026-02-25 01:49 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 1.3% | 2026-02-25 01:45 |