Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Air Force Falcons v Grand Canyon Antelopes

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Air Force Falcons (Local)

Prediction 7.26%13.78fair odd
EV +23.41%
Edge +1.38%
Kelly +1.46%
Growth +0.343%

assuming max odds 17.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.66%7.22%7.09%8.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.0013.0013.0017.009.09%7.69%7.69%5.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grand Canyon Antelopes (Visit)

Prediction 92.74%1.08fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -3.41%
Kelly -88.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
91.36%92.78%92.91%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.021.021.0499.01%97.66%98.04%96.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Air Force Falcons (Local): 7.26%; Grand Canyon Antelopes (Visit): 92.74%. For Air Force Falcons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.78. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 17.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +23.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +23.41%E +1.38%K +1.46%G +0.343%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.40%E -5.30%K -270.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 23:50
theScore Bet🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +16.15%E +1.01%K +1.08%G +0.174%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.40%E -5.30%K -270.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 23:50
GTbets🎯14.10I 7.09%NM 6.81%EV +2.36%E +0.167%K +0.180%G +0.004%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.19%EV -4.48%E -4.35%K -149.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 01:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +1.63%E +0.117%K +0.126%G +0.002%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.55%E -3.41%K -88.75%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-04 01:45
DraftKings🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +1.63%E +0.117%K +0.126%G +0.002%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.55%E -3.41%K -88.75%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-04 01:30
Bovada🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +1.63%E +0.117%K +0.126%G +0.002%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.40%E -5.30%K -270.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 07:35
BetOnline.ag🎯13.56I 7.37%NM 7.06%EV -1.56%E -0.115%K -0.124%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.94%EV -4.48%E -4.35%K -149.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯13.56I 7.37%NM 7.06%EV -1.56%E -0.115%K -0.124%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.94%EV -4.48%E -4.35%K -149.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 00:10
BetMGM🎯13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV -2.00%E -0.148%K -0.160%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -4.48%E -4.35%K -149.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 23:40
Bet Right🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -5.63%E -0.433%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.48%E -4.35%K -149.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 01:30
1xBet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -5.63%E -0.433%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.40%E -5.30%K -270.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 23:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -5.63%E -0.433%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.40%E -5.30%K -270.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 23:40
Neds🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -5.63%E -0.433%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.40%E -5.30%K -270.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 23:40
Coral🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -5.63%E -0.433%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.40%E -5.30%K -270.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -5.63%E -0.433%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.40%E -5.30%K -270.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 23:39
LeoVegas🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -5.63%E -0.433%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.40%E -5.30%K -270.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -5.63%E -0.433%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.40%E -5.30%K -270.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -5.63%E -0.433%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.40%E -5.30%K -270.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 23:40
betPARX🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -5.63%E -0.433%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.40%E -5.30%K -270.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 23:40
Bally Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -5.63%E -0.433%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.40%E -5.30%K -270.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 23:40
Svenska Spel🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -5.63%E -0.433%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.40%E -5.30%K -270.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -5.63%E -0.433%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.40%E -5.30%K -270.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 23:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -5.63%E -0.433%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.40%E -5.30%K -270.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 23:40
Paddy Power🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -5.63%E -0.433%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.40%E -5.30%K -270.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 23:50
Betr (AU)🎯12.75I 7.84%NM 7.47%EV -7.44%E -0.584%K -0.633%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.53%EV -4.48%E -4.35%K -149.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 01:30
Caesars🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -9.26%E -0.741%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.55%E -3.41%K -88.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 01:28
888sport🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -9.26%E -0.741%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.48%E -4.35%K -149.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 01:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -9.26%E -0.741%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.48%E -4.35%K -149.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 01:30
888sport (SE)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -9.26%E -0.741%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.48%E -4.35%K -149.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 01:30
Unibet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -9.26%E -0.741%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.40%E -5.30%K -270.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 23:55
BetRivers🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -9.26%E -0.741%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.40%E -5.30%K -270.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 23:55
Unibet (NL)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -9.26%E -0.741%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.40%E -5.30%K -270.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -9.26%E -0.741%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.40%E -5.30%K -270.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 23:55
TABtouch🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -9.26%E -0.741%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.40%E -5.30%K -270.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 23:55
TAB🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -20.15%E -1.83%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.55%E -3.41%K -88.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 01:30
BoyleSports🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -20.15%E -1.83%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.40%E -5.30%K -270.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 23:50
Betsson🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -20.15%E -1.83%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -6.33%E -6.27%K -633.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-03 23:55
NordicBet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -20.15%E -1.83%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -6.33%E -6.27%K -633.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-03 23:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99%1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01%0.2%2026-03-04 01:45
Polymarket20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%1.2%2026-03-03 18:05
ProphetX20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%1.2%2026-03-04 01:50
Novig18.52I 5.40%NM 5.27%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.73%2.5%2026-03-04 01:55