Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tasmania JackJumpers v Sydney Kings

2026-10-30 08:36 UTC — NBL

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tasmania JackJumpers (Local)

Prediction 44.16%2.26fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.30%44.16%44.50%46.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.072.082.2054.05%48.36%48.08%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sydney Kings (Visit)

Prediction 55.84%1.79fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -3.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.46%55.84%55.50%56.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.691.701.7564.94%59.21%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tasmania JackJumpers (Local): 44.16%; Sydney Kings (Visit): 55.84%. For Sydney Kings (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.75, with an expected value of -2.28%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.85%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.19%E -3.68%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-29 00:50
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.38%E -3.01%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.96%E -2.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-29 00:30
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.38%E -3.01%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-29 01:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-29 01:59
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.15%E -3.92%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.28%E -1.30%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-29 01:15
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -8.15%E -3.92%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -6.19%E -3.68%K -9.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-29 01:19
picklebet_au🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -9.47%E -4.62%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.19%E -3.68%K -9.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-29 01:19
Bet Right🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.54%EV -11.24%E -5.59%K -11.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -2.28%E -1.30%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-29 01:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 45.43%EV -18.30%E -9.89%K -21.53%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 54.57%EV -14.01%E -9.10%K -25.94%G +0.000%19.0%2026-10-29 01:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-29 01:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-29 01:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-29 01:50