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Tasmania JackJumpers v Brisbane Bullets

2026-10-21 08:36 UTC — NBL

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tasmania JackJumpers (Local)

Prediction 73.98%1.35fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -4.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.90%73.98%73.98%74.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.281.291.3384.03%78.23%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brisbane Bullets (Visit)

Prediction 26.02%3.84fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -0.646%
Kelly -0.881%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.15%26.02%26.02%29.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.463.503.7534.48%28.87%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tasmania JackJumpers (Local): 73.98%; Brisbane Bullets (Visit): 26.02%. For Tasmania JackJumpers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.35. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.33, with an expected value of -1.61%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.61%E -1.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-19 06:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.83%E -2.94%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-19 03:09
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -3.83%E -2.94%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -7.11%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-19 03:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.83%E -2.94%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-19 03:09
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.83%E -2.94%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-19 03:10
Bet Right🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.83%E -2.94%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.83%E -3.83%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-19 03:15
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.31%E -4.15%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-19 06:40
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -5.31%E -4.15%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -15.43%E -4.75%K -6.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-19 06:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.79%E -5.39%K -26.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.42%E -0.646%K -0.881%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-19 03:29
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.53%E -6.02%K -30.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.03%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-19 04:24
picklebet_au🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.53%E -6.02%K -30.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-19 06:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 70.90%EV -11.96%E -10.05%K -62.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.10%EV -24.54%E -8.46%K -12.92%G +0.000%18.5%2026-10-19 08:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%6.7%2026-10-19 06:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%6.7%2026-10-19 07:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%6.7%2026-10-19 06:55