The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Sydney Kings v Perth Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 08:37 UTC

Final: Sydney Kings 102–81 Perth Wildcats

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sydney Kings (Local)

Prediction 75.17%1.33fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -10.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.74%75.03%75.25%76.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.261.271.2981.30%79.07%78.74%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Perth Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 24.83%4.03fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -0.482%
Kelly -0.646%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.89%24.97%24.75%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.753.753.9530.77%26.63%26.67%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sydney Kings (Local): 75.17%; Perth Wildcats (Visit): 24.83%. For Perth Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.95, with an expected value of -1.91%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -3.04%E -2.35%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -9.11%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 08:05
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -3.79%E -2.96%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -6.13%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-17 08:35
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.79%E -2.96%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 08:15
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.79%E -2.96%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 08:30
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.79%E -2.96%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 03:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.79%E -2.96%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 03:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.79%E -2.96%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.60%E -2.94%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 07:30
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -3.79%E -2.96%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -19.29%E -5.94%K -8.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 08:25
TAB🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 08:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 08:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -10.60%E -2.94%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 08:20
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -6.04%E -4.83%K -24.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -1.91%E -0.482%K -0.646%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 08:35
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -6.04%E -4.83%K -24.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -1.91%E -0.482%K -0.646%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 08:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -6.04%E -4.83%K -24.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -1.91%E -0.482%K -0.646%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 08:35
picklebet_au🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.04%E -4.83%K -24.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.15%E -0.807%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 08:30
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.04%E -4.83%K -24.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.15%E -0.807%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 05:15
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.04%E -4.83%K -24.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.79%E -5.48%K -28.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -1.91%E -0.482%K -0.646%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 08:35
Betsson🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.55%E -6.13%K -32.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 08:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-10-17 08:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-10-17 08:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%3.0%2026-10-17 08:35