The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Sydney Kings v Perth Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-03-11 08:36 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sydney Kings (Local)

Prediction 75.86%1.32fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -7.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.44%75.24%75.96%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.251.251.2981.97%79.92%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Perth Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 24.14%4.14fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.246%
Kelly -0.326%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.08%24.76%24.04%27.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.393.893.954.1029.50%25.68%25.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sydney Kings (Local): 75.86%; Perth Wildcats (Visit): 24.14%. For Perth Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.10, with an expected value of -1.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.44%EV -2.15%E -1.66%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.56%EV -18.15%E -5.35%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 08:35
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.90%E -2.27%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 08:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.66%E -2.88%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 08:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.18%E -4.14%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 08:25
TAB🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.18%E -4.14%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 06:35
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.18%E -4.14%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 06:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.18%E -4.14%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 06:50
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.18%E -4.14%K -20.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 08:25
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.18%E -4.14%K -20.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 08:25
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.18%E -4.14%K -20.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 08:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.18%E -4.14%K -20.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.18%E -4.14%K -20.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 08:30
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.18%E -4.14%K -20.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.08%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-11 08:30
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.94%E -4.79%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.01%E -0.246%K -0.326%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 08:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.94%E -4.79%K -24.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 08:10
Bet Right🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.70%E -5.44%K -29.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.01%E -0.246%K -0.326%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 08:35
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.46%E -6.11%K -33.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 08:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-03-11 08:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-03-11 08:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-03-11 08:35