Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sydney Kings v Adelaide 36ers

2026-10-11 04:06 UTC — NBL

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sydney Kings (Local)

Prediction 75.95%1.32fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.973%
Kelly -4.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.92%76.02%75.95%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.251.251.3081.97%79.96%80.00%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Adelaide 36ers (Visit)

Prediction 24.05%4.16fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.340%
Kelly -0.450%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.08%23.98%24.05%27.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.863.854.1028.57%25.92%25.97%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sydney Kings (Local): 75.95%; Adelaide 36ers (Visit): 24.05%. For Sydney Kings (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.32. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.30, with an expected value of -1.26%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Dabble (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.26%E -0.973%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -15.83%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.78%E -2.17%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.81%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.78%E -2.17%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.81%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 14:00
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.78%E -2.17%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -12.22%E -3.35%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 17:05
SportsBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -9.09%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.41%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.61%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.02%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 19:35
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -15.83%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:00
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.40%E -0.340%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.40%E -0.340%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.40%E -0.340%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 14:00
TABtouch🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.40%E -0.340%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.40%E -0.340%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 14:00
TAB🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.80%E -0.950%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%2.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%2.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%2.6%2026-10-10 17:45